TradingView
Andre_Cardoso
Oct 24, 2015 11:51 PM

Bearish setup with bullish pattern in the middle // IF=THEN ® Short

Australian Dollar/U.S. DollarFXCM

Description

FX:AUDUSD

The price broke the previous structure with a new high with an AB = CD pattern,in my view as a correction, however I'm terribly bearish with this pair (technically).

Correction between weekly supportW1 and daily resistanceD1, bulls pressure on daily supportD1 keep holding the fall. If the market create a bearish impulse, I believe we can see prices to fall and test previous structure from 2008...

The "New iMPULSE" is one clone from previous, It serves only as a demonstration of a possible event, taking into account the basic Elliot movements, but as we can see, even that way, it points to previous structure support zone from 2008 with nails. Look left ;) - "this is a copy-paste" ...

I need your constructive comments to improve my analysis in Elliot waves. Please give opinions... Thanks in advance ;)

Monthly Cypher - link below

Eventual Shark:

Point B:
61.8% XA
Point C:
113% to 161% AB
Point D:
161% to 224% BC

88.6% to 113% XC
Target:
38.2% to 100% CD

Safe trades;
Comments
IvanLabrie
Hi.
The impulsive legs down don't look all that impulsive.
It's very tricky to assume a structure is an impulse. In fact, they are quite rare in this scale.
IvanLabrie
One key thing people never look for: structures can end in a higher low. The way your C moved up, is rather vertical and drastically different, I think a new structure began there.
Andre_Cardoso
Nice tip Ivan, thank you... that higher low as an end freezed my brain ;) i need to explore a lot more about those possible moves, im trying to get some "eventual control" over elliot to then sync with harmonics and other stuff, i think i should had started from the beginning and not from the end ;) thanks
IvanLabrie
My reccomendation, ditch traditional EW, read the Neowave book: "Mastering Elliott Wave", by Glenn Neely.
If you read the section on plotting data alone, you'll understand why I say this. This is a good start too:
neowave.com/company.asp
forex-third-eye.com/glenn-neely.html
BLUE43
it could a next 5 wave on wolf coming around 0.75 before down ?
More