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lionpridefx
Aug 26, 2020 7:06 PM

AUDUSD Short Forecast 08/26 Short

Australian Dollar/U.S. DollarFXCM

Description

Price is rejecting higher TF resistance and forming a bearish engulfing candle as the hour closed. This tells me we may see short term retracement before continuing upwards. Considering bull momentum exhausted after 2 wave impulses, we could see price break below .7200 and close below confirming the overall uptrend has ended.

Comment

Price rejected resistance twice on 4H TF, and w/ such a strong bullish impulse, we can now expect price to fall to a level of support to be retested.
Scenario A: Price breaks above resistance and retests w/ rejection for further upside.
Scenario B: Price comes back up to retest resistance again and rejects w/ a strong bear candle fully formed/closed for further downside.

Carefully watching what happens at 0.7205 area support either way. If price breaks below and closes w/ multiple confluences will enter shorts and vic versa for longs. Long term I will be looking for long opportunities and will be looking for RSI divergence short term.

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