AXL / TetherUS
Long

AXLUSDT — Demand Zone Defense or Bearish Breakdown?

133
📝 Overview

Currently, AXLUSDT (1D, Binance) is trading inside a key demand zone between 0.27–0.33 (yellow box on the chart). This area has been tested multiple times since April 2025, showing strong buying interest whenever price dips into it.

However, the broader structure still shows a clear downtrend with consistent lower highs, meaning the market is now at a critical decision point: will this demand zone hold and trigger an accumulation phase leading to reversal, or will sellers push price into a deeper bearish continuation?

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📍 Key Technical Levels

Main Demand/Support Zone: 0.27 – 0.33

Lowest wick: 0.2702

Current mid-range: around 0.3143


Major Resistances above:

0.3726 → 0.4453 → 0.5099 → 0.5818 → 0.8150 → 1.1242 / 1.14 (High)

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🔎 Structure & Pattern

Range base at the bottom of a downtrend: Price has been consolidating within this range since April.

Liquidity sweeps (fakeouts): Long wicks below the zone were quickly absorbed, signaling strong buyers defending the area.

Reversal confirmation: Only valid if price can close daily above 0.3726 and sustain it with a successful retest. Until then, risk of sideways chop or breakdown remains.

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🚀 Bullish Scenario

1. Price sustains above 0.30 without a daily close below 0.27.

2. Breakout trigger: Daily close > 0.3726, followed by a successful retest → reversal confirmation.

3. Upside targets:

🎯 TP1: 0.4453

🎯 TP2: 0.5099

🎯 TP3: 0.5818

🎯 Extended: 0.8150 → 1.12–1.14 if momentum strengthens.

4. Bullish invalidation: Daily close < 0.27.

Aggressive approach: Buy around 0.30–0.31, SL below 0.27.
Conservative approach: Wait for breakout above 0.3726 and buy the retest.

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📉 Bearish Scenario

1. Failure to hold the 0.27–0.33 demand will weaken structure further.

2. Daily close below 0.27 opens the door for deeper downside.

3. Next bearish targets:

First support: 0.2550

If broken, potential new lows due to lack of historical demand below.

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⚖️ Conclusion

The 0.27–0.33 demand zone is a make-or-break level for AXLUSDT.

As long as price holds above it, the possibility of accumulation and reversal remains alive, especially with a breakout above 0.3726.

But if the zone fails, sellers may extend the downtrend to fresh lows.

In short: This is the golden zone for a decisive move — either accumulation to fuel a reversal, or a breakdown to continue the bearish trend.

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