AXS Short / SXP Long ?

I'm looking for Pairs to trade against each other to offset the risk of a single trade.
With a "± simple" calculation of each possible outcome of A UP / A Flat / A down - B UP / B Flat / B down i look wich move in A/B is the most likeliest.

AXS / SXP UP 1 6%
AXS / SXP Down 4 34%
SXP / AXS UP 4 17%
SXP / AXS Down 2 33%

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