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HumanBias
Dec 23, 2020 10:50 AM

Price target till february 2021. Thoughts please. Short

Alibaba Group Holding LimitedNYSE

Description

Price target of $220-230 because the confluence of:
- Fibonacci retracement (0.618 - $219.06) from ATH to September '15 low
- Fibonacci retracement (0.5 - $223.52) from ATH to December '18 low
- Fibonacci retracement (0.382 - $225.76) from ATH to March '20 low
- Low side of the parallel channel formed since the IPO
- Low side of the broadening wedge formed in December 2018
- Price target of the new descending triangle forming since 16 November 2020
- MACD convergence divergence negative in Weekly
- Chinese regulations risk
- U.S delisting risk

But probably trend reversal in first weeks of February 2021 when:
- New democratic POTUS arrive to the White House in 20 January
- New Alibaba earnings release between 02-09 February with sustained growth

Please leave your thoughts to create a better community with better ideas. Do you think I'm right or not? Why?

I'm from Barcelona so sorry if there are some spelling mistakes :)

Comment

Once Price Target achieved, I'm going to buy every share I can.

Comment

Price target achieved. Thanks to everyone.

Start buying with long perspective. +2 years.

Trade closed: target reached

Comments
jcohen1085
Thanks for your reply - makes sense.
My point is that we have already reached you buying target. Does it makes sense to buy now or wait and buy closer to feb?
Thanks
Jon
HumanBias
@jcohen1085, dollar cost averaging it could be an option! But this is not a financial advise!

I’m long in BABA right now
HumanBias
@jcohen1085, like and subscribe for more opportunities. Interested in some stock?
jcohen1085
Does today sell-off impact your analysis?
erudax
nice idea , $240 right now
HumanBias
@erudax, yes! First target 243-246 :) thank you
HumanBias
@erudax, like and subscribe for more! Interested in some stock?
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