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RahulAndra
Apr 5, 2016 7:35 AM

Banknifty 3 YR Long Term Consolidation Breakdown Short Short

Nifty Bank IndexNSE

Description

Hello

This is an update from my BANKNIFTY Long call from 13700


and my BANKNIFTY short call which is at a breakeven point. The first scenario I had foreseen was a reversal at this lvl. The second was retrace to 17k and then back down. Now I notice a 3y long pattern of consolidation that has been in development ever since BANKNIFTY rallied from 8k to a 200%+ high of 20k. The banking index is looking weak as India continues to cut rates inorder to increase budget by decreasing payments on debt.

In the short term I think that the second possibility of 17k and back down is possible as the price action has been extremely bullish from 13k ranges and shows indications of wanting to test the top of the consolidation triangle at around 16.7k.

Best of luck

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