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GoldCartel
Oct 21, 2020 12:37 PM

United States Presidential election - Trump vs Biden 

US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION 2020 BIDEN AVERAGE POLLSUS

Description

Currently, I reckon Biden most likely will fall to 49, and President Trump will go up to 45. Place your bets, ladies, and gentlemen!

My watchlist for election day:
- XAU/USD
If President Trump wins, my XAU/USD sentiment is super bearish.

- US30
If President Trump wins, my US30 sentiment is super bullish.

- USD/JPY
If President Trump wins, my USD/JPY sentiment is super bullish.

Comment

Why Donald Trump Lost the 2020 Presidential Election:

1. He banned Muslims to entered the country in 2017. There are 3.45 million Muslims in the US

2. He lost votes because of his comment/action on the black community. There are 41.99 million black or African American in the US

3. Hispanic or Latino American, you all know why. There are 59 million Latino/Hispanic Americans

4. Americans of Chinese descent, well he mentions "China virus," pretty offensive isn't it. There are 3.8 million Americans of Chinese descent

5. Legal immigrants, well, you all know why. His comments about immigrants pretty offensive. There are 44.8 million legal immigrants in the US

6. Native American issue

7. Climate activist

8. Covid victims

Now calculate how many Trump supporters switched sides to Biden because of the issue that I mentioned above.
Comments
WTFpattern
This analysis won't ever be accurate as 40 million people have already voted. Its an interesting exercise to see if TA for equities pricing can be applied to other data sets, but understand the flaws with the data (polling, people can change their minds weekly).
GoldCartel
@WTFpattern, The chart never lies.
WTFpattern
@GoldCartel, but people responding to polls do
UnknownUnicorn3769276
What about DXY if Trump wins? Bullish?
GoldCartel
@devinr21, Most likely
muqeetforex
@GoldCartel, Biden win
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