fikira

Bitcoin Stock To Flow S2F Next Top ?

Long
fikira Wizard Updated   
BNC:BLX   Bitcoin Liquid Index
Sharing my observations here, it may come true, or not...

Putting LOG Fibonacci lines on a LOG scale, some things are remarkable!






TOP

- The first big Bull run after a Halving starts with a rise from the S2F (463d) St. Dev 4x. This is happened already.
- Previous 2 occasions, when the S2F (10d) touched the S2F (463d), the major bull run began to start, it hasn't touched (yet)
- The top ALWAYS passed the S2F (10d), it hasn't passed yet.

Seems to me, the major Bull run still has to come!

The 2.3 fib of the 1st top predicted EXACTLY top 2.
The 2.3 fib of the 2nd top predicted fairly correctly top 3.
On that base we could say top 4 could be around 208K - 215K

(Dreaming a bit but if this is correct, the top after that could be higher than 1.4M!)

Bottom

The LOG Fib 1.65 predicted the next bottom pretty correct!

The LOG Fib 2.65 predicted the second next bottom pretty correct as well!

According to this, the next bottom could well be around 52K (min around 30K, max around 65K)

Timeline

Seeing the Timelines, we can see:
- Halving starts at 0 (or 5 for the next)
- Bullish between 0-2
- Top between 1-2
- Bearish between 2-3
- Bottom between 3-5

We are now just past 1!

We'll see how this goes!
Cheers!

(This is not financial advice, please DYOR)
Trade active:
Hi, just some more information:
- Watch how the major bull run starts after crossing of the smoothed S2F(10d)
- See the major buying opportunities when price touched the extremely smoothed S2F(10d) -> green squares with green arrows
- See the last major bull run starts after the extremely smoothed S2F(10d) crosses the S2F(463d) St.Dev. 4x (white line)
- See the last major bull run starts it final fase after the extremely smoothed S2F(10d) crosses the S2F(463d) St.Dev. 3x (green line), TOP is near!

Now, the extremely smoothed S2F(10d) crossed the S2F(463d) St.Dev. 4x (white line)


Cheers!
Comment:
As said in the first post, in previous 2 occasions, when the S2F (10d) touched the S2F (463d), the major bull run began to start, it seems to hit now for the first time...


Is this the start of the major (final) bull run?

Something else:
Should it be the price passes 208-215K, another possible target is 295K

Why? Well..
- top 2 is located pretty exact at the 2.3 fib line of top 1
- top 3 is located pretty exact at the 3.3 fib line of top 1
so...
- top 4 is located pretty exact at the 4.3 fib line of top 1 ???
(which is 295K)

We'll see!

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