Bitcoin Liquid Index
Updated

BTC next bottom -50% ?

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⚡️ I’ve been saying since December and January that selling around $108K was a smart move. Meanwhile, mainstream analysts were predicting $150K in winter and $200K by spring—now you can ask them, where are those predictions?

📝 This correction might feel painful, but let’s be real—it was expected for those who were paying attention. We had a parabolic move, and markets don’t rise forever. Right now, we are experiencing a mid-cycle correction, similar to 2021, when Bitcoin retraced 50% a year before the final peak.

💡 I still believe we’ll see new highs this year. The key now is to monitor the stock market—a prolonged equity downturn could extend this consolidation. But if history serves as any guide, these dips are opportunities, not the end of the cycle. Stay sharp.
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⚡️We’re now consolidating right below the Bull Market Support Band — a level that has historically acted as a springboard during mid-cycle slowdowns. It’s not the top, and it’s not the bottom — it’s the build-up zone.

📝 The price remains well within the long-term logarithmic channel, and structurally, nothing is broken. This isn’t a breakdown. It’s a cool-off — exactly what you'd expect after a strong move from $50K to nearly $110K. Back in December and January, I mentioned that starting to sell around $108K made sense.

💡 If you’ve been through 2021, this should feel familiar. Mid-cycle corrections like this often shake out the weak hands before the next expansion. Patience is underrated in this phase.

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