In this chart, which I have shared previously in August 2022, I explain that we had reached our bottom back in November 2022 and would likely put in an accumulation range (green rectangle boxes) over a period of time - this has now happened exactly.
I don't mean to post this to prove I was 'right', I do it because it gives some clarity to those long-term investors (opposed to intra-day trading), that we are in fact on the right track to a fresh all time high in 2024/25.
Bitcoin briefly traded outside the lower support band of the Log curve, which was worrisome for a while, myself included. However, if we stuck to the technicals and price action, we would have quickly realized it was a deviation (which has happened before) and would prove to be the next best opportunity to get involved and buy long term positions.
This chart does not mean it is straight up from here, as in 30k Bitcoin in the near future is not off the table, in fact I think it is very much ON the table. If you're a long term investor, you don't care. You dollar cost average in at those corrections and if we get a capitulation event, ensure you have capital ready to deploy. The reason why I can confidently do this, without worrying about intra day price movement, is I know where the final destination is.
Price may hug the lower support band of the Log curve and chop around in the green box, but on average the price will be elevating itself in my opinion, such that the high time frame, macro weekly, monthly) 100/200 moving averages will be in an uptrend from here on out.
I like this chart, if provides clarity and perspective, if you don't day-trade then this is the only chart you need for Bitcoin.