NeverNO

BTC

Short
NeverNO Updated   
BNC:BLX   Bitcoin Liquid Index
BTC: soon under 20k?
Note the middle of the trend channel... it dipped below it this week.
The lower edge of the long term bullish trend channel is pointing at 3 key support points (green arrows) hence the target @19161.37 I expect by 25 Jul '22.
Contrary to expectations, there could even be a false breakout of the trend channel, then the red line @15973.53 should be reached.
In both cases, the black wave (4) of the red (III) is coming to an end and the black wave (5) of the red (III) should be reached in the second quarter of '23.
If this TA matches, the next target is between 75500 and 84180.
Comment:
Jan 30
Comment:
VARIANT 1
Jan 9
Comment:
VARIANT 2
Jan 9
Comment:
Here is an alternative to the main chart above, where instead of ABC within the trend channel, a much deeper ABC correction is foreseen:
BTC is in a minor abc correction right now.
August should hit 26574.53 and a strong bounce down would indicate the end of black wave 4.
However, this wave 4 would still have enough space until 29919.2.
CONCLUSION:
unless 29919 is sustainably breached, there is a strong possibility that any next weekly close below 19942.21 will lead to the following deeper targets:
1)15957
2) 13791-13028.83
3) 12468 (major support), below follows
4) 10666.62
I have colored the location of each phase to see that we are now in the gray zone where both bullish and bearish moves can be expected.
Green = bullish or support zone
Yellow = possible turn
Orang = soon to be the end of the whole corrective formation ABC.
Red = resistance or, contrary to expectations, large losses.
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.