I don’t do moving averages myself as I’ve never found them to be a leading indicator of price action, the latter if anything after all they are only reflecting the movements of price action over a given period of time.
If this TA is proven BTC will be the same price a year from now given past events. That’s quite a statement.
The only difference I can find with those events of the past following the test of the 365-day MA is each and every one of them confirmed the 50-day EMA as resistance, except for mid-2012.
Today price action has broken through the 50-day (blue line) and confirmed it as support following a test of the 365-day MA.