CryptoEngineering
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Are you a BTC investor (not trader) ? This post is a gold mine !

BNC:BLX   BraveNewCoin Liquid Index for Bitcoin
The post has been my masterpiece since 2016

It is a really long one and not for everyone, kinda a summary of my 3 years Trading Knowledge and forecast of Bitcoin's future movement!

Who am I? I have been trading in crypto since November 2016 . Seen many shit coins , seen many big pumps and epic dumps.
Made money , Lost money. However, I always focused to improve myself. Started to share my knowledge on trading view since October 2018.

I read 10+ trading books from Jesse Livermore to Jack Schwager , I examined stock tables, I inspected thousands of charts. As I studied them I began to learn things about crypto / stock movements which I had not seen before.I started to realize that crypto movements were not completely haphazard.

You're here because you've completed some research and are starting to understand the opportunity and potential that cryptocurrency has! 99.9% of people do not invest in cryptocurrency because they've never heard of it, or don't understand it!
When the general public starts to invest, the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies will sky rocket, meaning potentially really high returns to early investors.

My best 5 strategies / advice for you below before analyzing BTC' s past performance.

1 ) Less is more! Don’t use more than 3 – 5 indicators at the same time. Pick 4H or 1 day on the chart !
Trend lines , Moving Averages and Chart patterns etc. Drawing lines are the most important indicators in any market.

2 ) The second thing I would say is always bet less than 5 percent of your money on any one idea. That way you can be wrong more than twenty times; it will take you a long time to lose your money. I would emphasize that the 5 percent applies to one idea. If you take a long position in two different related grain markets, that is still one idea.

3 ) Be so picky who to follow in the market! Over 80% are people are loser. Don’t follow the crowd. ( Hamada Mark is the only trader that I always try not to miss his posts, Dlavrov , DianKemala are also good traders. )

4 ) Weekly open –close above MA 20 ( bullish trend )
Weekly open –close below MA 50 ( Bearish trend )

Super Bullish : The candle is above MA 20 ( Daily )
Bullish : MA 50 Above MA 100 ( Daily )
Bearish : MA 50 below MA 100 ( Daily )

If it breaks the daily trend line with a strong candle, it is the easiest buy / sell signal.

5 ) Last but not least you should always keep the ratio below

30 - 40 % BTC
40 - 50 % ALT
10 - 30 % USD

Let's start it.


The patterns do repeat themselves -- and with good reason. The stock market is governed by a set of two principles: supply and demand ; and fear and greed. Both are based on human nature, and human nature doesn't change. In a bear market, all stocks are taken down. Greed gives way to fear, and investors can't sell fast enough. But the smart money sees value in the best stocks and will begin accumulating shares, bidding these stocks up. So, when the market hits bottom, some of these stocks will have already built bases and are back near highs. They get ready to break out and rush to new highs, leading the way once a new bull market begins. And these bases have certain characteristics that show up repeatedly in market cycle after market cycle

The summary of 2011 - 2013

93% down from ATH
When the candle was below MA 20, BTC dropped extra 77.57%.
When the candle was below MA 50, BTC dropped extra 58.95%.
MA 50 was above MA 20 for 217 days, Then Bull season is started again.
After MA 50 passed MA 20 , The candle failed to stay above MA 50 at the first try and BTC dropped 46% . The Bull season started at the second try.
The candle was touched MA 100 for a short time, BTC stayed almost always above MA 100.
It took 623 days to break ATH again.
Bull season starts when BTC is above MA 20 on a weekly chart ( and MA 20 passes MA 50 )
Bear season starts when BTC is below MA 20 on a weekly chart

Best time to buy?
MA 20 passes MA 50 and The candle is above MA 20 AT $6!
THE LOWEST LEVEL IS FIB 0.236!

The summary of 2013 – 2017

85% down from ATH
When the candle was below MA 20, BTC dropped extra 72% until ATL .
When the candle was below MA 50, BTC dropped extra 68% until ATL
MA 50 was above MA 20 for 427 days, Then Bull season is started again.
After MA 50 passed MA 20 , The candle failed to stay above MA 50 at the first try and BTC dropped 36% ( BTC was also below MA 100 ) . The Bull season started at the second try.

After MA 100 passed MA 50, The candle failed to pass above MA 20 at the first try and BTC dropped 8%. It passed in a month!

The candle was below MA 100 for 357 days. BTC dropped extra 54% until ATL
It took 1134 days to break ATH again.
Bull season starts when BTC is above MA 20 on a weekly chart ( and MA 20 passes MA 50 )
Bear season starts when BTC is below MA 20 on a weekly chart

Best time to buy?
MA 20 passes MA 50 and The candle is above MA 20 AT $285!
THE LOWEST LEVEL IS FIB 0.5!


2017 – 2020

84% down from ATH . ( It will be 93 % down if BTC dropped to $1350 )
When the candle was below MA 20, BTC dropped extra 67% until ATL . ( It will be 77 % down if BTC dropped to $2350 )
When the candle was below MA 50, BTC dropped extra 58% until ATL . ( It will be 68% down if BTC dropped to $2450 )

So, what does it mean to us if history repeats itself?

BTC will go up to $4100- 4200, Then it will drop to $3700 - $3800.
From this level , It will go up to $5800 - $6200, Then it will drop to $3200- $4000 !!!

THE LOWEST LEVEL IS FIB 0.236 ( $2175 ) or FIB 0.5 (3250 - Touched)

I really respect Metcalfe's Law ( https://charts.bitcoin.com/btc/chart/met... , https://news.bitcoin.com/bitcoin-value-t... ) on Bitcoin chart. It shows that Bitcoin will drop to $1200- $1350. Otherwise, I am optimistic as long as we dont see a new ATL , I am not targeting Fib 0.236 ( $2175 ) , $2350 or $2450 at the moment. However, I am expecting to see $3200 - $3600 again a couple of times.

So, What should you do?

I am strongly advising to collect BTC & TOP 20 alt coins while BTC is between $3200 - $3600 . Stay FIAT if We drop below $3200. The Bull season starts when BTC is above MA 20 on a weekly chart ( and MA 20 passes MA 50 ) . Date? ( SEPTEMBER 2, 2019 - November 4, 2019)

No one has a crystal ball for the Crypto market , but what we do have to look at is history. Although past performance does not guarantee future results, when it comes to the Bitcoin ’s current situation, history shows some alarming parallels.


FINAL NOTE :

When bear markets are near the bottom, the great majority of advisory letters will usually be bearish . Near market tops, most will be bullish . The majority is usually wrong when it’s most important to be right. Never fight the market—it’s bigger than you are.
The key to staying on top of the crypto market is not predicting or knowing what the market is going to do. It’s knowing and understanding what the market has actually done in the past several weeks and what it is currently doing now.


Today it’s not enough for you to just work and earn a salary. To do the things you want to do, go the places you want to go, and have the things you want to have in your life, you absolutely must save and invest intelligently. The income from your investments and the net gains you can make will let your each your goals and provide real security. No one can hold you back but yourself. To be successful you always have to be one step ahead of everyone else.


***Nothing shared or published by me constitutes an investment recommendation, nor should any data or content provided by me be relied upon for any investment activities. I strongly recommends that you perform your own independent research and/or speak with a qualified investment professional before making any financial decisions.This is not trading advice, and should be used for educational purposes. Do not invest what you cannot afford to lose.
Trade active: Hey Guys,

I started to be more active on twitter. Let's get connect there as well.

https://twitter.com/c_ryptoengineer
Trade active: Sold all $btc at 4700 and 5000!
I will be waiting to break $5000 with a strong 4h candle to buy it back to sell at $5800 - $6200 . 20% profit in 1 D for BTC is not bad!
Trade active: Bought at $5200 - Stop loss at $5200.
I will be selling at around $5800 - $6200>
Continue to update here!

**Dont forget to check my altcoins charts!

LAST 3 MONTHS PROFITS :

Bitbean = Over 100% profit
GRC = Over 100% profit
UP= Over 120% profit
Storj = Over 300% profit
Ok = Over 210% profit
VRC = Over 500% profit


https://twitter.com/c_ryptoengineer
Trade active: I am completely out of my Bitcoin position at $6100. Either I will re consider to at $6600 or I will start to buy at $4200 again.
Trade active: Jumped to altcoins when BTC was $6600.
BTC pumped 5% , so do altcoins! Thanks to Bitcoin Cash , Easy 30% ! TA WORKS, guys!

So far so good right now. REMEMBER DEC 2017!
Many great opportunities right now on altcoins.

If you are scary from the dump, Use stop -loss! Good luck
Trade active: If you have been trading for some time and have been using Technical Analysis as a way to find trading opportunities, you would have probably come across the Moving Average Crossover strategy.

It is probably one of the most well-known Technical Analysis signals out there. The strategy basically uses Two Moving Averages, one with a shorter period and the other with a longer period.

A bullish signal is generated when the shorter period Moving Average crosses the longer period Moving Average from below. When the opposite happens, that is when the shorter period Moving Average crosses the longer period Moving Average from above, we have a bearish signal.

So, Let me analyzing BTC's current movement from 2011 to 2019 by reviewing MA (20 , 50 , 100 , 200 ) on a weekly chart.

2011 - 2013

On Jan 2 , 2012 , The first time a weekly candle was above MA 20 after the big correction. Tried to stay above MA 50 , It couldn't.
It dropped up to 46% from the top , MA 20 was the strongest support on it.
Then, " the next bull market " started when the candle passed MA 50 at the next time. ( and MA 20 was above MA 50 )

From 2012 to 2014, The best time to buy Bitcoin was when it touched MA 20 on a weekly chart


2014 - 2016


On Jun 29 , 2015, The first time a weekly candle was above MA 20 after the big correction. Tried to stay above MA 50 , It couldn't.
It dropped up to 37% from the top , MA 200 was the strongest support on it.
Then, " the next bull market " started when the candle passed MA 50 at the next time. ( and MA 20 was above MA 50 )

From 2016 to 2018, The best time to buy Bitcoin was when it touched MA 20 on a weekly chart

2018 - 2020

On March 25 , 2019, The first time a weekly candle was above MA 20 after the big correction. Tried to stay above MA 50 , It could ? It couldn't?

A ) It will drop up to 37% from the top , MA 20 will be the strongest support on it.
Then, " the next bull market " started when the candle passed MA 50 at the next time. ( and MA 20 will be above MA 50 )
******* BEST BUY : $4600 - $4800

B ) It will drop up to 46% from the top , MA 200 will be the strongest support on it.
Then, " the next bull market " will start when the candle pass MA 50 at the next time. ( and MA 20 will be above MA 50 )
******* BEST BUY : $4000 - $4400

From 2019 to 2021, The best time to buy Bitcoin will be when it touch MA 20 on a weekly chart!!!!

I strongly believe that YOU WILL GET AT LEAST ONE MORE TIME TO BUY BITCOIN BELOW $5000 before the next bull season!
Bull Season Date? ( SEPTEMBER 2, 2019 - November 4, 2019)

A or B ? Comment below , please.
Trade active: Closed my alt positions with average 50% profit that I bought them on May 10.

Waiting for the next best set up. Patience is the key for success!
Trade active: Nov 21, 2018 : Bought Bitcoin at $4400
Dec 7 : Bought Bitcoin at $3200 again
Apr 2, 2019 : Sold Bitcoin at $5000
Apr 24 : Bought Bitcoin back at $5200
May 9 : Sold Bitcoin at $6100
May 10 : Bought xrp, ltc ,$eth on USD pair
May 16 : Sold xrp ltc eth with 50% profit on USD pair
May 22 : Bought middle / low cap coins trx btt npxs dent
June 1: TRX pumped 45% (June 3 ), btt sold 70% ,npxs sold 40%, dent sold 80%

All the trades shared on twitter / tradingview day by day publicly. Please follow us if you havent done it. May was a good month for us.
Congratulations to people who follow my calls.
Trade active: If you are not following me on twitter, You are missing huge!
Trade active: As I always mention on my posts, You should keep this ratio on your crypto portfolio:

30 - 40 % BTC
40 - 50 % ALT
10 - 30 % USDT or USD

You should always give a mission to your coins ( included tether - stable? coin )

30 - 40 % BTC
Put a low buy order / put a buy order on support levels for altcoins.

Example- Please check my twitter account for more details :
Shared on July 1 - Bought BTT automatically at 9 satoshi
Shared on June 28 - Bought ABY automatically at 5 satoshi - sold at 8 satoshi in 40 minutes - %50 profit = $700
Shared on Jun 20 - Bought BAT at 2400 satoshi.

40 - 50 % ALT

As long as You bought the coin, You should set a sell order.
Stop Loss? I strongly recommend you to confirm 1D open close signal, before you sell the coin with a loss. No need to set automatically stop loss.

10 - 30 % USDT or USD

In any circumstances , You can buy altcoins when you see over 20 -30 % dump in a single day ( unless it pumped 100% or more previous day, No need to buy if it delisted as well)

You can also use your stable coins to buy other coins at support level.
Example :
Buying Tron / TRX at $0.023
Buying Omisego / OMG at $1.9
Buying Neo at $12
Comment: So, Let's review the current Bitcoin movement VS the previous bull season.

Before I should remind you something ;

Weekly open –close above MA 20 ( bullish trend )
Weekly open –close below MA 50 ( Bearish trend )

Super Bullish : The candle is above MA 20 ( Daily )
Bullish : MA 50 Above MA 100 ( Daily )
Bearish : MA 50 below MA 100 ( Daily )

As you can see the current chart, Bitcoin has been super bullish since Feb 8, 2019. Since then , It hasn't touched the MA 50.

From October 10 , 2015 to March 12, 2018 , Bitcoin was always above MA 200 ( 1D chart open close ) .

More details? Here you go!

- It touched once MA 200 From October 10 , 2015 to March 12, 2018
- It touched only 17 times to MA 100 From Jan 1, 2017 to ATH ( Dec 17, 2017 )
- It touched 73 times times to MA 50 From Jan 1, 2017 to ATH ( Dec 17, 2017)
- It touched countless times to MA 20 From Jan 1, 2017 to ATH ( Dec 17, 2017)

Are you a new Bitcoin Investor? And Dont you know where to buy?

First, Open your trading-view account, Insert MA 20 , MA 50 , MA 100, MA 200.
If MA 20 is above MA 50 and The candle is above MA 20 . That's awesome!
" You are getting ready to buy BITCOIN as long as MA 50 IS ABOVE MA 100 "

Buy bitcoin but where?
The answer is so easy! Buy BITCOIN when it touches MA 20 , MA 50 and MA 100
If you are really lucky, You can even get a change to buy BITCOIN when It touches MA 200.

As you know, The moving average is changing everyday, You should check the charts.

Since April 22, 2019 Bitcoin 1D candle is above MA 20 , MA 50 , MA 100 and MA 200. At the same time MA 50 is above MA 200.
The Best buy levels were when It touches Moving Averages lines. It means $5200, $7800 , $8200 . $10200.

NEVER TOUCHED TO MA 50 , MA 100 AND MA 200!

MA 200 is at $5500
MA 100 is at $7200
MA 50 is at $9100
MA 20 is at $10300

As a result? Dont FOMO and FUD.

If you are following me on Twitter ( If not You are doing so wrong - cryptoengineers ) , You can see that I sold a lot of my bitcoins at 11,300 (shared on twitter on Jun 23 ) and 13,750 ( On Jun 26 )

Not planning to buy sometime soon! Unless Bitcoin is above 11,500 open close on 1D chart. I am also buyer at $9300 ( around MA 50 ) , at $6800 ( around MA 100 ) .
I was targeting below $5000 are in May but I am not right now. Because MA 200 is already at $5500 ! Below this level, It will so bad for all crypto community.

There is no overnight success in crypto trading. It takes some time to win big.
But at least, You can learn step by step to win by following Moving Average Strategy.
Trade active: 1D open close below $11,500 is not a safe trade to go long.
Trade active: Congratulations if you have been following this post for months!
If you sold between $13,750 and $11,300 . It is time to buy back again step by step.

As I told you on July 3, I just bought some btc at 9,300.

Strongly advice you to buy between 9,300 to $8200 if you sold your btc like me when I told you.
The risk & reward ratio is great for middle and long term investors.

No need to make a perfect trade - You only need to make a right trade!
Trade active: If you want to level up in crypto , You should know when to trade / not trade!

I am at no trade zone since July 13 and enjoying the summer in Alanya - Bodrum, Turkey.

Protip : I am in crypto to make more money not wasting time / money.
Trade active: Congratulations to my followers!
They made 27% profits in 5 minutes while over 90% CT was losing?

How?
- Followed me here and on twitter

- Opened their exchanges in 5 minutes
- Sold their BTC at $11,500
- Bought BTC at $9300, and Enjoyed their summer.

Protip : Winning is not a sometime thing; it's an all-the-time thing. You don't win once in a while, you don't do things right once in a while, you do them right all the time. Winning is a habit.
nice
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IT took me a while but I finally made it through this post. This is really sound advice I love it. Thank you for taking the time to share this. I still have a lot to learn before I ever start trading but ive been in this since 2012 and charts like this are far and few between on here.
+2 Reply
@atomica, Thanks Adam dude.
Please let me know if you have any questions about the chart.
Sending regards to Ontario
+1 Reply
.ma20 10400 is it good for entry .. if i understand your txt ..
+1 Reply
@xozd, MA 20, MA 50 and MA 100 are always great entry for a middle & long term investment for the investor.
Reply
xozd CryptoEngineering