TLDR: Cycle Top Price: Between 123K (min.) and 144K (max.) Cycle Top Time: Between mid-March and early April. Bitcoin Cycle Top Price: Bitcoin Primary Count: Currently, Bitcoin is in the final stages of Primary Wave 5. The price has already reached the 1:1 Fibonacci extension and will likely extend higher. The following Fib extensions are: 1. 272 at 123.6K. 2. 1.382 at 130K. 3. 1.618 at 143.7K. The primary 1.272 extension corresponds with the intermediate degree wave five target, establishing it as the most probable cycle top price. Figure 1: Bitcoin Primary Wave Count. Figure 2: Bitcoin Intermediate Wave 5 Count. Bitcoin cycle Top Time: The common practice in EW theory is to measure the 1.272 Fibonacci time extension of wave 4. According to the primary count, the Fibonacci 1.272-time ratio points to February 10th. According to the intermediate count, the Fibonacci 1.272-time ratio points to February 18th. Figure 3: Bitcoin cycle Top Time – Primary Count. Figure 4: Bitcoin Cycle Top Time – Intermediate Count. Bitcoin Cycle Top According to Yearly Cycles: The last four years have shown an interesting phenomenon. Bitcoin reached a significant top between mid-March and Early April. Should this trend persist, I expect the next cycle to top between mid-March and early April. Figure 5: Bitcoin Yearly Cycle Tops. Bitcoin Cycle Top According to the 4-Year Cycle: If the March top is THE cycle top, what about the 4-year cycle? Bitcoin will likely form a higher price in an irregular correction by the end of 2025. If this scenario comes to pass, it will be in line with the 4-year cycle. The previous 4-year cycle top of 69K was also an overshooting wave B. Time will tell how the PA will evolve, but this scenario is highly likely. Figure 6: Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Top 2021. If you read this post until the end, I appreciate your diligence. I hope it will be useful information that will help you make the most out 2025. Best wishes NTC
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