TechNerdOmar

BNB Binance Coin to Lose its 3X Hype Gains. 58% Drop Expected.

Short
BINANCE:BNBBTC   Binance Coin / Bitcoin
BNBBTC has gained a lot of attention and hype in March 2021 that contributed to its 3x rise in two months from 4k Satoshi in March to 12k Satoshi in May. The hype was based on Binance entering the DeFi space and announcing its staking returns. At the time, The Binance exchange announced up to 27.49% APY return for staking the BNB token. Currently, the highest APY for BNB according to Binance is 8.69%. Users' interest in gaining annual yield reveals itself to be a delusion to many when they see the gain on capital in the negative 30% territory. Less and less BNB coins are being staked ever the initial announcement in March 2021. There is no more reason to hold BNB. On the other hand, DeFi has also been losing traction as indicated by the price of many DeFi tokens such as AAVE losing 74% of its value vs BTC (even more vs USD). Therefore, it is time for BNB to give back those hype-propelled gains and go back to 4k Satoshi.

The first step is breaking the 10k Satoshi support. We are currently sitting at that line. I have drawn a descending triangle there, but it is not confirmed because it needs a third touch on its upper side. My conservative scenario is that we remain within the triangle for 6 more weeks. My bearish scenario is that, if we don't break the 10k Satoshi support right now, we see a weak bounce up to 10.5k Satoshi before dropping to break 10k Satoshi. The first target is 7.7k Satoshi. Follow me to get updates on this trade as it unfolds.

I am making this bearish prediction on BNB even though I am biased towards BNB because of its impressive performance in the previous Bitcoin bear market in 2018 to 2020. But I would be happy to get a buying opportunity at 4k Satoshi, and I believe we will reach there.


Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.