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mustagfir
Jul 31, 2018 7:42 AM

Beware of BNB (Binance Coin) 

Binance Coin / BitcoinBinance

Description

BNB is in downtrend from roughly 40 days.
Traders observing crazy bull run of BNB from past 3 months will be seeing this as a retracement and expecting a move up.

But look at the chart carefully, you will find that 0.0018500 resistance is too strong and BNB had a hard time breaking it in the past. Now it broke down from that resistance with good volume and also retested it (Retest is a sign of trend continuation). So be careful if you go long, this might be a bull trap.
In short - you may think it is part of first impulse wave 1-5 but it may be wave B of retracement wave ABC.

My play would be
1. Short it right now and try to ladder buy around 0.001400 resistance (10% profit) - stop loss at 0.0017500
2. Wait for a breakout above 0.0018500 with a good volume and go long from there - stop loss at 0.001800

Happy Hunting.


Note:- This is not a financial analysis.

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As you can see right now its rising and retesting the support at 0.001850, if it breaks above it (1 candle open and close above that resistance) with good volume then that resistance will become support and there will be high probability of uptrend.
If it got rejected then hopefully its going back to 0.0014.

But as an alt trader always watch BTC/USD movements. This recent uptrend is only because BTC

Comment

This uptrend is only because BTC is retracing downward at the moment. If BTC is back in uptrend then BNB won't be able to maintain this uptrend.

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If BNB ended going up then this is one of the possible scenario

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And if it is going down then this is another possibility

As a trader we can't ignore any of them.
But the key level is 0.00185, whether BNB breaks it or not will validate one theory and rejects other.

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Since BTC falls again BNB is trading above our 0.00185 resistance. In the next 30 min if 4 hr candle closes above the resistance our view will be bullish. And one may enter in a long position.
But don't buy with 100% of your capital. Instead try to buy small amounts (say 10%) within the green zone.


Our stop loss will be when a 4hr candle successfully open and close below 0.00185 resistance.

Comment

If you have any questions feel free to ask
Comments
Galvin
I think some get shorting and spot trading mixed up. He probably means sell at .0014 since it most likely going lower. Or buy at 00185.
Shorting/long is borrowing money to open a position. But some call shorting selling spot.
mustagfir
@Galvin, Exactly
since Binance does not support shorting, by shorting I mean selling BNB for BTC/USDT and buying back cheaper. It works (almost) like shorting.
I wonder when will Binance start supporting shorting, margin trading and advanced orders.
meveme
I really don’t understand ur terminology about
Short at0014 and long at 00185

Cheers :))
meveme
Hi
I do BNB
What u mean by short it at .0014
How u can short BNB!???

Tnx
mustagfir
@meveme, hi,
Sorry for this confusion, I "assumed" everyone on Binance have some amount of BNB. May be for long term holding or for trading fees reduction.
So by shorting I mean sell BNB for BTC/USDT and buy back around 0.0014. which went completely wrong because BNB shoot right up (because BTC fell down hard)
Check my update above.
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