📉 1. Market Structure
There was an ascending channel (purple lines) → it was broken below.
This = structure change → bullish → bearish (short-term)
The last move is a strong downward impulse (breakdown).
👉 Conclusion: short-term trend = downward.
📊 2. Key Levels
🔴 Support:
607–611 → currently tested (very important)
582 → next target
545 → deep target (if panic selling)
🟢 Resistance:
636
656
685 → key HTF resistance
⚠️ 3. What just happened
Breakdown from the channel
Loss of level ~636
Now you are testing the demand zone ~610
This is the market's decision point.
📉 4. Indicators
Stoch RSI:
In the oversold zone
But WARNING → in a downtrend, it may stay there for a long time.
MACD:
Crossover down
Histogram falling → momentum bearish
👉 Conclusion: no reversal signal (yet)
🔮 5. Scenarios
🟥 Scenario 1 (more likely now):
➡️ Break 607 → going lower
target: 582
then even 545
This will be a continuation of the downtrend.
🟨 Scenario 2 (bounce):
➡️ Defense 607 + quick return to:
620–630
Then:
short squeeze
return to 636 → 656
🟩 Scenario 3 (bullish) Only):
➡️ Only a return above 656–685
= trend change
There was an ascending channel (purple lines) → it was broken below.
This = structure change → bullish → bearish (short-term)
The last move is a strong downward impulse (breakdown).
👉 Conclusion: short-term trend = downward.
📊 2. Key Levels
🔴 Support:
607–611 → currently tested (very important)
582 → next target
545 → deep target (if panic selling)
🟢 Resistance:
636
656
685 → key HTF resistance
⚠️ 3. What just happened
Breakdown from the channel
Loss of level ~636
Now you are testing the demand zone ~610
This is the market's decision point.
📉 4. Indicators
Stoch RSI:
In the oversold zone
But WARNING → in a downtrend, it may stay there for a long time.
MACD:
Crossover down
Histogram falling → momentum bearish
👉 Conclusion: no reversal signal (yet)
🔮 5. Scenarios
🟥 Scenario 1 (more likely now):
➡️ Break 607 → going lower
target: 582
then even 545
This will be a continuation of the downtrend.
🟨 Scenario 2 (bounce):
➡️ Defense 607 + quick return to:
620–630
Then:
short squeeze
return to 636 → 656
🟩 Scenario 3 (bullish) Only):
➡️ Only a return above 656–685
= trend change
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
