📉 1️⃣ Market Structure
You have a clear downward channel (orange lines).
The medium-term trend remains downward because:
lower highs
lower lows
price below the upper trend line
The current rebound is currently a corrective move, not a trend reversal.
🔴 Key Levels
Support:
$611
$591
$559 (strong HTF support)
Resistance:
$636
$659
$690
The price is now ~$632 and is testing:
previous local resistance
downward trend line
This is a decision-making zone.
📊 RSI
RSI has rebounded strongly (around 60+)
We are leaving the neutral zone
It is not overbought yet
Short-term momentum is bullish.
📈 MACD
Bullish cross
Histogram rising
Momentum is growing dynamically
This confirms the strength of the rebound.
🔎 Scenarios
🟢 Bullish scenario
If the 4-hour period closes clearly above:
$636 and above the trend line
Then targets:
$659
$690
This would be a breakout of the channel.
🔴 Bearish scenario (more likely structurally)
If we get a rejection at:
$635–$640
Possible drop to:
$611
$591
possibly a retest of the lower band of the channel
Until the structure of lower highs is broken, the trend is down.
You have a clear downward channel (orange lines).
The medium-term trend remains downward because:
lower highs
lower lows
price below the upper trend line
The current rebound is currently a corrective move, not a trend reversal.
🔴 Key Levels
Support:
$611
$591
$559 (strong HTF support)
Resistance:
$636
$659
$690
The price is now ~$632 and is testing:
previous local resistance
downward trend line
This is a decision-making zone.
📊 RSI
RSI has rebounded strongly (around 60+)
We are leaving the neutral zone
It is not overbought yet
Short-term momentum is bullish.
📈 MACD
Bullish cross
Histogram rising
Momentum is growing dynamically
This confirms the strength of the rebound.
🔎 Scenarios
🟢 Bullish scenario
If the 4-hour period closes clearly above:
$636 and above the trend line
Then targets:
$659
$690
This would be a breakout of the channel.
🔴 Bearish scenario (more likely structurally)
If we get a rejection at:
$635–$640
Possible drop to:
$611
$591
possibly a retest of the lower band of the channel
Until the structure of lower highs is broken, the trend is down.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
