glennleese

BrainChip Holdings (ASX:BRN) - What I see happening from here

ASX:BRN   BRAINCHIP HOLDINGS LTD
Looking at the chart today from BrainChip ( BRN ) I can see they it has a couple of potential directions from here.

Over the last week or so, the stock has been retreating back from its highs of close to $1.00.

Overall though, I can see 2 possible scenarios.

Scenario A

Holding current levels (which look good considering the 61.8 fib line placement) here could see a price grab back up to above $0.50. Holding there would mean BrainChip is still maintaining an overall uptrend and also holding above the 50 fib line. Breaking through the next level of resistance at $0.64 is critical for recover efforts. A bullish scenario overall with some risk.

Scenario B

Failing to hold here would mean a fall back to previous support and older trend line around $0.34. A note here though that the old trend line has less touches, so holding it is yet to be determined. However, the fact that we have a trend line and a support line means we might see a bounce.

Options

If I was looking to gain entry, I can do so immediately, however I would be prepared for further volatility. A further fall back to $0.34 could mean a need to top up the position with more cash.

I can also choose to wait for one of the following scenarios:

- A clean break up and out of $0.64, signalling a much stronger bullish case.
- A break down and a hold at $0.34, signalling a position of relative safety to begin investment.

Risk Management

I can deploy risk management techniques including limiting the percentage exposure to this stock, applying a stop loss if it falls too far or reserving cash to purchase lower entries and reduce my average, should I want a long term position.



Hope this analysis helps!



Note - this is a record of my thoughts for personal use only. Nothing here should be taken as financial advice. Investors and traders should always do their own research before buying or selling assets.












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