BTC Dominance Rising Wedge Theory

Sep 13, 2019

• Each trendline has three points of contact and are logarithmically getting closer together: rising wedge pattern.
  
• BTC Dominance beginning to look overextended (TD) and overbought (RSI) while testing resistance between 72-74%.
  
• This is far from a perfect rising wedge as it excludes the September 2018 head fake, but a theory worth considering.
  
• BTC.D closed above it's 200 Week MA (70.5%) for the first time ever last month. A close below could be fatal.
  
• Currently expecting a January 2020 "mini altseason" with full-blown altseason in Winter 2021.

Sep 16, 2019

Note

BTC dominance broken through local support on the 4hr, current retesting it. The doji reversal on the week of 2nd sept is what I've been paying attention to.

Sep 17, 2019

Note

BTC dominance fell through 4hr support around 71.6%, now it's heading for the daily/weekly support area around 69.6%-70.3%. Expecting a reaction from the 200 Week MA (golden line), but ultimately for support to break. Notice how this moving average is still moving downhill, as in the macro sense BTC.D is still bearish.

Sep 17, 2019

Note

Sep 17, 2019

Note

No reaction from 50 Day MA yet? Heading straight to 70 by looks of it.

Sep 18, 2019

Note

Now at critical levels. BTC dominance has made a new lower low of 69.33%, now retesting prior low of 69.6%.

Sep 18, 2019

Trade active

I'm now analyzing the altcoin dominance chart instead for a better bullish view. For anyone looking its 1-BTC+99.

Oct 21, 2019

Note

Dominance falling as expected, even if not as aggressively as first thought.
Price is now within the forecasted bars again :-)