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Helical_Trades
Dec 26, 2021 7:19 AM

BTC/USD : Most important level to hold; Where are we heading ? 

Description

BYBIT:BTCUSDBINANCE:BTCUSDT

Recently we had a bounce above $50796 and it's also broke above Daily EMA200 !
Now it's been rejected because of the hourly candle close below $50796 and it's located one Daily EMA200 and EMA 33/55 cloud.

The main idea is still can be bullish because of the support from $49500's S/R line and the EMAs below.
But any confirmation below $49500 will lead the pair into lower S/R zone and the lower support zone at $46600.

So it's very suggested to have a look on #BTC's movement in weekend and tomorrow's range because it can push the pair above $51800 ( Main resistance RN ).
How it can push the pair above $51800 ? It's simple; Because of the current gap forming in weekend !

📚 Also we can have another overview on the chart By adding the Supply/Demand zones and order-blocks :

As you can see on the chart there was a supply formed below $52000 and it just rejected the pair below the $50600's S/R level !
Now it's located above S/R line; We can say that If we get rejected again, We might retest the lower bullish order-block and the other S/R line at $48000 and continue our path to sweep the higher 2D's FVG and fill the gap above.

- Also we can track our bears into the Wick's mid or lower H12's Demand at $40550 !
So there're many scenarios being activated by losing any level to level.


📊 Then how I would play the chart ? Follow me 👇🏼
Based on On-Chain data that I gathered; The Estimated leverage Ratio has reached new high in last two years by passing above 0.2088 and now it's standing at ~0.2116 !
Which means that there're many Over-Leveraged positions that we need to be cleared.
So I would wait for any confirmation above $51800's resistance or any retest into $48000's support..

Also I'll be looking for today's EMAs to react !
But my main levels for now are :


📈 Supports :
$49500
$48200
$45500
$44250
$42000
$40550

📉 Resistances :
$50800
$51800
$53400
$56000
$57800
$59500

Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support us with your likes and comments !
Attention: this isn't financial advice we are just trying to help people on their own vision.

Have a good day!
@Helical_Trades
Comments
Max_PowerFx
Great Breakdown. Have a similar opinion on the current situation
Helical_Trades
@Max2811, Great to know that buddy :D
Hope you enjoyed the analysis !

By the way loved to know more about your own opinion.. .
Max_PowerFx
@Helical_Trades, I am really enjoying the analysis lately. Because I am still a developing trader on the way to becoming profitable I use such detailed analysis like yours to confirm my opinion and build up my confidence and trust in my own analysis of the market.

This here is the mark up I made a couple of days ago:

Because of how much Liquidity is provided below the current price I would like to see the market coming a little bit lower. But in the end, it is always observing and reacting and not predicting. So let's see what the upcoming week will provide. Have a nice Sunday mate.
Helical_Trades
@Max2811, Love the way your improving your skills !
Keep up the great work mate...

Completely agreed with your idea too :D
Let see what will happen next..
Hope you have a nice Sunday too buddy.
Vibranium_Capital
I am agree with you my friend
Helical_Trades
@Vibranium_Capital, Great to know that buddy ;D
MadWhale
here we have break out the trend line agree
Helical_Trades
@MadWhale, Yes !
MMBTtrader
strong resistances and supports also mentioned

well done
Helical_Trades
@MMBTtrader, Thanks my bro
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