Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently past a Relative Vigor Index (RVGI) Bearish Cross on the 3M (quarterly) time-frame. This is a huge development as it is basically the last indicator to confirm the new Bear Cycle beyond any technical doubt.
Every time this took place historically, BTC was on the first quarter of a Bear Cycle. The consistency between those Bearish Cross formations is remarkable: 15 or 16 quarters (1369 - 1461 days) between each occurrence.
What's even more interesting is that following each RVGI Bearish Cross, the Bear Cycle bottomed in exactly 4 quarters, i.e. 1 year. This technically confirm our long-term expectation from previous analyses that the current Cycle should bottom around October 2026.
In addition to the RVGI, take a look at the 3M RSI. The quarter before the RVGI Bearish Cross topped on the 7-year Lower Highs trend-line, consistent with all previous Highs.
So what do yo think? Is the RVGI right to confirm the new Bear Cycle and pinpoint its bottom around October 2026? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Every time this took place historically, BTC was on the first quarter of a Bear Cycle. The consistency between those Bearish Cross formations is remarkable: 15 or 16 quarters (1369 - 1461 days) between each occurrence.
What's even more interesting is that following each RVGI Bearish Cross, the Bear Cycle bottomed in exactly 4 quarters, i.e. 1 year. This technically confirm our long-term expectation from previous analyses that the current Cycle should bottom around October 2026.
In addition to the RVGI, take a look at the 3M RSI. The quarter before the RVGI Bearish Cross topped on the 7-year Lower Highs trend-line, consistent with all previous Highs.
So what do yo think? Is the RVGI right to confirm the new Bear Cycle and pinpoint its bottom around October 2026? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
---
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
🔥Automate my TradingView strategies with OneBullEx 🤖 Professional crypto bots • Risk-managed • No emotions 👉 Trade smarter on OneBullEx using my link: rebrand.ly/7b3792
For my Account Management & Signal services👉 rebrand.ly/azr2wfo
For my Account Management & Signal services👉 rebrand.ly/azr2wfo
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.