Hey traders, here's a quick breakdown on why I'm seeing short-term bullish signals for BTC/USD, despite the recent downtrend.
We've got a classic double bottom formation here, which is a strong bullish reversal indicator. Basically, the price found solid support at this level twice, showing that the bears are losing steam and the bulls are stepping in to push prices higher.
Next up, we've hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and bounced back up. For those who might not know, the 0.618 level is a big deal in technical analysis. It's often a strong support or resistance level, and a bounce from here usually signals the end of the retracement and the start of a new bullish trend.
We've also been retesting lower levels, which is a healthy sign. This consolidation helps build a strong base for a breakout past the previous all-time high (ATH). Without this kind of retest, breakouts often don't last.
Now, let's talk liquidation levels. There are significant liquidation levels around the current price. High liquidation levels can lead to quick, volatile moves as traders are forced out of their positions, causing sharp upward or downward movements.
And don't forget, BTC has become an all-engulfing liquidity snake. High-frequency trading (HFT) algorithms and institutional investments through ETFs and Wall Street are adding a ton of liquidity to the market. This means BTC can react quickly to market changes, often hunting for liquidity to fuel its next move.
Looking at the technical indicators, the moving averages show a potential crossover, which is another sign that we might be shifting from bearish to bullish momentum. The Market Cypher wave indicator at the bottom shows momentum shifting towards the bulls, with increasing buying pressure and decreasing selling pressure.
So, here's the game plan:
Consider going long at current levels, leveraging the double bottom formation and 0.618 Fibonacci bounce.
Set take-profit levels at key resistance points, like previous highs and Fibonacci extensions.
Place stop-loss orders below the recent support levels to manage your risk.
This is just my take based on the current charts and market conditions. Always do your own research and consider multiple factors before making any trading decisions.
Always stay neutral, let the trend be your friend, and trade on.
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