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exceLqa
Nov 15, 2017 2:43 AM

BTCUSD Bulltrap Short

Bitcoin / DollarBitfinex

Description

Be carefull, don't get bulltraped. High chance that we are in one now.
Previous falls always retraced to 0.786 fib, then fall continued, and ended on WMA(200) line, with touching oversold zone on RSI, so high chance of repeating.
We have strong support on 5000, so fall should'n be ended below that poin, but it's crypto, and the panic is good way to buy more.
According elliot waves (4) should enden below wave (1), but we can break that level(previous hight 4970) short term, to cause some panic.

Comment

(4) should't ended below wave (1), sorry

Comment

I don't like to use such spikes as landmarks, but if price will go above 0.782 fib with 7365 price, so probably i was wrong in my idea.

Comment

Strong bear divergence

Trade closed: stop reached

Seems that i messed something. Not sure where will market move now, but i will go to long positions only after RSI hits 30, or oversold zone.

Comment

missed*

Comment

Wow! That's Bitcoin, again! :)
Some thoughts:
1. We are about to touch upper chanell that's regulary send bitcoin to correction after two touches, could it be the same this time?
2. Fibo 2 stends right on the channel line on 8200 price
3. All previous observations: RSI - no continuation signal, WMA(200) untouched.


Comment

As evolution of idea:
Comments
fernx
Good idea and observation non-the-less.
exceLqa
@fernx, ty, let's see how it's plays out
vaskojovanov
Are we still waiting for the outcome of the chart? One hour we have a golden cross as I am typing this.
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