LongLifeTrading

Bitcoin's Path Ahead!

Long
BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
As discussed on multiple occasions here on TradingView, Bitcoin is likely in an ABC correction. We called the bottom at ~$30 000, yet with the possibility of a final mini dump towards the $27 500 area. Regardless of what, Bitcoin has now initiated its B-wave. This B-wave serves one purpose and one purpose only: to trick the bulls that everything is fine from now on. One technical area of high interest is the diagonal resistance that coincides with the 0,5 fib. This is an area that I will pay extra attention to.

With that said, whenever any underlying is trading within either a range, formation or consolidation, they tend to ignore regular indicator supports and resistances. Depending on how Bitcoin were to proceed from here we will assess the ~$46,500 resistance differently.

As recently discusses Bitcoin is most likely developing a zig-zag ABC correction as the A-wave consisted of 5 sub-waves. This naturally concludes that the B-wave should consist of 3 sub-waves in turn. By this token, if Bitcoin were to get its B-wave of the B-wave correction at for example $42 000 then chances are dramatically increased that the $46 500 area will be the final level prior to initiating a steep C-wave to kill off any final bullish enthusiasm.

If, on the other hand, Bitcoin were to go relatively straight towards this area and then get rejected, chances are that it will continue further up until it's done with the B-wave. Such case would pave the way for a flat, in which the aforementioned bottom at ~$27 500 would be the likely and absolute bottom in case of an expanded flat. Otherwise, a bottom between $30k-35k is more likely in case of a regular or running flat.

Time will tell. For now it all comes down to HOW Bitcoin will move up towards the mid to late 40 000 range.

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