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IvanLabrie
Dec 9, 2014 8:34 PM

BTC: 5 quarter base 

Bitcoin / U.S. dollarBitstamp

Description

It seems like Bitcoin has built a 5 quarter base, and rallied for exactly 5 quarters before starting the current slow downwards grind.

Right now the outlook is neutral, but as soon as we see an impulsive decline, I expect it to develop into a strong downtrend, targetting the 86 dollars mark.

Mining induced inflation is slowly killing the BTC price, which shows a weak demand, and a fading popularity after the emotional bulls are losing their perma-bull patience.

I sold my BTC at 378usd and I'm not looking back, but I find interesting how this market behaves.
On the fundamental side of things, some people are counting on the US Marshall's auctions' buyer Tim Draper and others to push the price up, but for now there is no sign of bulls in the longer term.

My reccomendation: stay in cash or your asset/commodity of choice.
Comments
LastBattle
Nice observation!

Same, I'm in fiat too until I see a clear sign of demand.
IvanLabrie
Thanks for the comments, this is a very long term chart, so you can see clearer from the distance of everyday noise. I don't look at charts below 1d in BTCUSD for that reason. (wealthy traders don't dwell below 1d I think, and they are way fewer than in other markets) :)
IvanLabrie
This is still very much valid.
IvanLabrie
wrxsti8888
@IvanLabrie, what are these tw_ub and tw_ops ? wanted overlay on chart of current days
IvanLabrie
@wrxsti8888, part of Tim West's (@timwest) 'Key Hidden Levels' indicator pack from the paid add ons the site offers.
wrxsti8888
@IvanLabrie, ty, did u buy your btc for $200 for long hold? :)
IvanLabrie
@wrxsti8888, I traded in and out from 250 to 13000 where I sold all before the fall. My clients know the trades we made, during 2016 we made 283% and during 2017 over 6000%.
IvanLabrie
IvanLabrie


Fairly likely scenario.
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