Just noticed that when I hit play a mere 9 days after this chart was made, the big 'Gox Drop Weekend' we are currently experiencing has only bought the price down to ride along the top of the purple average line...nice.
I remember the first time Bitcoin crashed and thinking to myself 'well that's that'. But these 'dead cat bounces' keep bouncing higher! The poor thing must of been fed a steady diet of 'flubber'. I wonder if it will have exactly 9 lives.
Given the radical changes occuring in the market w/institutional investors pouring in amongst other things, why not considering the lower price for this time could be a bit higher than what you've suggested, and that the next ATH is also going to be much higher?