We`re in a quite similar of the "small" rally of 2012.
As you might remember, that rally took place a few months before the halving, after a long bearmarket,
a situation strangely similar to where we are now.
I think we´ll slowly rise back to 450, build a plateau at 450-500 and stay there stable for a few months.
Then we might see a rally unfold, if bitcoin continues to do fractals.
It would fit also the upcoming halving in the middle of 2016.
However, for that, the potentially upcoming economic crisis needs to fully unfold, with lots of capital flowing into bitcoin . The chances for that are not so slim.