The current levels of 4,424/4600 have 50 % chance (*) of building a Medium Top, targeting the zone of 5,600/5,200 as TARGET SHELL (purple arrow and box).
The Alternative scenery has also 50% chance (*) that would continue the climbing looking for 10,154.00 zone (red box).
(*) Technical Probability: Is calculated counting on the intrinsic stats value of each Trading Setup + the matching of a six sigma filtered indicator on an error interval, tested on significative sample for infinite populations.