As i said retrace is coming soon and it did in few hours and i mentioned for trend continuation 11400 10800 area must not break down it so for now i expect consolidation for about a week in this range and lets hope it stand for reversal
Low time frame indicator always trick traders that's why we are not doing day or short term trades and we focus on higher time frames and the trend, here is another look:
Since we hit 13900 in Jun 26 we expected to consolidate for about a week between 10500 and 11500 level with daily close above 10k level and we got that, during this week the lowest daily close was 10600.
And we said many times 10k level should not be broken with daily close and so far this stand strong beside 4HR hidden bull div completed we can officially say now consolidation has ended and BTC is ready to resume uptrend.
We got daily close 10750 then 2d close 10500 showing btc strong above 10k level but after btc went below 10k level again we should wait for the next daily candle close but we are still bullish because indicators now went very low and gave chance to form 4hr hidden bull div we were waiting for the last couple of days which is now very clear on rsi and macd
I am expecting breakout to upside in anytime very soon. Watch out!
When i published this idea ( Bitcoin free fly incoming! ) before we drop from 13k level, I did explain its still incoming and retrace to 12k level is very possible and we did retraced below it as well as i said we should wait 2-3 sideway moves before shooting upside
So the idea still in process and so early to judge when dealing with 2d time frame even if we got closed below 11500 in lower timeframes but we did reverse very nice after we spotted divergences just in time before it complete and we did share with you!
I really wonder some people who asking for updates privately or in comments without even pressing like to the idea!!!
Another thing i would like to point out, look to the trend line:
Although we got lower price but in my opinion it doesn't invalidate anything yet, divergences on lower time frames most of times are complex but its a clear sign that reversal is coming.
So if we look to the daily, we can adjust the trendline and today candle close will tell us if its still valid. The pattern will turn to be a large pennant more than a triangle and both of them most of times are bullish when formed in uptrend.
The fractals on daily rsi&macd are almost completed so yea today should be the day to make it or break it. daily close below 10300 going to be very bad.