Red_Apple

[Red Apple] "just before dramatic movement"_BTC/USD_18.09.11

Red_Apple Updated   
BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
BTC's being formed triangle pattern on 4H after drop to trend line. it's gonna showing dramatic movement soon.

If you are busy, you can just read below briefly
'A. Briefing '
'F. Summary and Strategy'
before read, click '+Thumb up, +Follow' :-)

A. Briefing
. Supported by trend line
. Triangle pattern on 4H

B. Weekly Chart
a. Candle
Bearish Engulfing Candle
b. EMA
Dead Cross between 20EMA and 50EMA
c. Pattern
ab=cd
d. Sum.
There's Bearish Engulfing Candle and EMAs are crossed. these factors suggest additional drop. Even it goes up, it is hard to expect Bullish before Fib.0.382($6614.5).

C. Daily Chart
a. Trend
Supported by trend line
b. Candle
possible to be formed 'Falling Three Method'
c. EMA
in reverse
d. Sum.
Supported but weak rebound

D. 4H Chart
a. Trend
Lower High Lower Low(Dow Theory)
b. EMA
in reverse
c. Pattern
Flag -> breakout down-ward-> Box -> breakout down-ward -> supported trend line -> re-entering box -> triangle
d. Fibonacci
important to break box
e. Sum
At the moment, BTC is moving into price convergence and soon it is going to show big movement. or after breakout, it can be formed rectangle as well.
if break $6550, it is positive signal.(becomes higher high)

E. Summary and Strategy
Take position as result of convergence and keep thinking about moving sideways.
if break the pattern up-ward, buy BTC.
if break the pattern down-ward, wait until long-term trend line(not short-term, it can be broken short-term trend line in this time)
if it goes up, 1st target will be over$6550 and 2nd target will be $6614.5.
Actually, quite simple situation.

If you got help from my idea, click +Thumb up, +Follow

If there's something special, 'll comment in real time.

Thanks
Comment:
Touched upper side of the pattern. Check whether candle on 4H is closed over the pattern or not.
Comment:
For your reference_
Bitcoin Dominance :
2nd) BitMex
3rd) Bitflyer
11th) Bitfinex
Comment:
At the moment, there are 'Hidden Bearish Divergence'. if BTC goes up over $6458.9, it become invalid.
Comment:
This is the end of my idea and comments
If you got help, click +Thumb up, +Follow'
THanks :)
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