We have been calling for a Bitcoin correction since highs in November of 2021 (red arrows on the chart). We even gave Fibonacci for areas of support, all of which were validated during the selloff. It seems that cryptocurrencies are becoming more sensitive to things like interest rates and inflation. The global markets have sharply corrected due to the Fed's increasingly more Hawkish rhetoric, and the crypto markets are no exception. They are in a tough position. Their task is to combat inflation with the only tools they have available. Despite the fact that the economy is still fragile, they seem to be gunning for 4 rate hikes in 2022, a decision which the markets are not taking lightly.
We have been highlighting $38K as the next major level for Bitcoin, garnered from our Fibonacci retracement levels. Subsequently, we have breached this level, and are currently in the vacuum zone between $29K and $38K. We do appear to be finidng some support, confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI around $35K which is the upper bound of a congestion zone from July. However, we aren't seeing the kind of buy back we would expect from such bargain prices. From here, we may range a bit and attempt to establish footing. Expect a consolidation pattern like a flag or wedge to form before Bitcoin makes its next move.
Currenty levels seem to be critical to stop the selloff from hitting $29K. If they don't hold, this is our next target. The Kovach OBV is extremely bearish on the daily chart, and does not appear to be showing signs of leveling off. If the rout continues and we hit $29K, then the 0.236 Fibonacci from early 2021 suggests that $19K is the next target, which roughly coincides with 2017's high before the great crypto winter of 2018.
If we do manage to see some buying come through, then $38K and $40K will be significant barriers to break and we anticipate a lot of resistance here. BTC had been flirting with levels in the low $40K's for months, establishing solid technical levels in this neighborhood. If we are able to break these, then $44K is the next major milestone.
We have been highlighting $38K as the next major level for Bitcoin, garnered from our Fibonacci retracement levels. Subsequently, we have breached this level, and are currently in the vacuum zone between $29K and $38K. We do appear to be finidng some support, confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI around $35K which is the upper bound of a congestion zone from July. However, we aren't seeing the kind of buy back we would expect from such bargain prices. From here, we may range a bit and attempt to establish footing. Expect a consolidation pattern like a flag or wedge to form before Bitcoin makes its next move.
Currenty levels seem to be critical to stop the selloff from hitting $29K. If they don't hold, this is our next target. The Kovach OBV is extremely bearish on the daily chart, and does not appear to be showing signs of leveling off. If the rout continues and we hit $29K, then the 0.236 Fibonacci from early 2021 suggests that $19K is the next target, which roughly coincides with 2017's high before the great crypto winter of 2018.
If we do manage to see some buying come through, then $38K and $40K will be significant barriers to break and we anticipate a lot of resistance here. BTC had been flirting with levels in the low $40K's for months, establishing solid technical levels in this neighborhood. If we are able to break these, then $44K is the next major milestone.
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