We've gone now with the crossover (see last chart). If you look at the two channels drawn, sorry annotations aren't great, from the low in Jan and July (after the last rise) then you can see there are clear crossover points at the lines of that appear to be forming.
My targets are $170-175 by start of October and then possibly $200 at December. This would require us to get through a line of resistance that I think will appear about $180.00.
If we break $150 then next resistance about $165 followed by $180. We could see a very sharp spike to $266, but that rise blasted through $150 where we are seeing resistance this time so I don't think this will happen. I suspect a fast, but gentler rise.