Today we saw the same pattern on the weekly chart as what we saw a few days ago on the 3-day chart: a close above the 21 EMA
(yellow line), followed by the next candle opening and closing above the 21 EMA
. This is, historically, a good reason to be bullish
. Furthermore strengthing the bullish
case is the stoch
%K getting above 20 again. The last time this happened was in the week of February 25 at 3790; this was followed by four months of bullish
price action, taking BTCUSD
all the way to 13880. Of course, we can't expect history to repeat itself, however, it does provide clues about what might happen. But first, BTCUSD
has to take out weekly resistance at around 9500. If that succeeds, a retest of the next resistance at about 11500 is exceptionally likely. This is an area where I would strongly consider profit-taking. If the bulls can take out 11500, the road to 16K and beyond lays wide open.
On the other hand, if BTCUSD
slips below the 21 EMA
again, we enter the danger zone. I will abandon all bullish
scenarios if BTCUSD
closes a 12H candle below the resistance line at around 8800.
The future is always uncertain. The goal is to find spots where we can enter trades with the odds in our favor. Right now, it looks like the bulls have the advantage.