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jamiedubauskas
Nov 16, 2019 12:01 AM

Falling Wedge To Kickstart a Wave 3? Long

Bitcoin / U.S. dollarBitstamp

Description

There appears to be a small falling wedge pattern that is forming from the October 26th top of $10,350 down to now. Everything from the falling wedge pattern to the low volume associated with falling wedge patterns is happening. The falling wedge pattern is trending at the top of the descending channel that was formed from the June 26th top of $13,880. If the recent pump from the $7300 area to the top of $10,350 is seen as a micro 5 waves up, and a wave 2 would generally be a 0.500-0.618 retracement of the micro 5 waves up, then the bottoming zone for the wave 2 should be around $8,820 to $8,460. It doesn't have to be exact but it's usually around those numbers. So that means if the bottoming zone (relatively) holds, then a small wave 3 is imminent. Wave 3s in Elliott Wave are typically 1.618 times the size of the 1st wave off of the bottom of the 2nd wave. So, that puts a wave 3 target at ~$13,400 for now.

Comment

I forgot to add that there is also some bullish divergences in the MACD and RSI. You can notice that with the MACD and RSI completing higher lows while the price action is completing higher lows.

Comment

Bitcoin is trending lower than expected. Absolute lowest possible wave 2 retracement is 0.786 of the move so if Bitcoin breaks through $7947 then this is not a wave 2.
Comments
kris82wt
so what are the price levels for 1st and 2nd wave?
1st: 7330-10480
2nd: 10480-8420?
jamiedubauskas
@kris82wt, yes. The 2nd wave is not confirmed yet since we don't have signs of a clear bottom but we are in the bottoming zone.
kris82wt
@jamiedubauskas, i'm 99% sure it bottomed. If so, numbers I gave above are correct? (more or less of course because it depends on the market)
jamiedubauskas
@kris82wt, you can't be sure of a bottom unless a micro 5 waves up is present. But yes if we bottomed here then the numbers should be correct
kris82wt
@jamiedubauskas, thank you!
jamiedubauskas
@kris82wt, no problem
SynergyPower
I bought in at 8489.13 // whats a good TP? ( i understand the risk and you providing me with advice) thanks.
jamiedubauskas
@SynergyPower, short term Target price I have listed is $13,400 for now but wave 3s can always hyperextend and go beyond the TP.
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