Bitcoin (BTCUSD) follows a very distinct sequence on every one of its Bear Cycle bottoms (including the 2020 COVID crash mid-Cycle bottom). On every bottom, it goes an EMA Zone lower than the previous one.
Starting with January 2015, BTC bottomed within the 1W EMA200 (orange trend-line) - EMA300 (black trend-line) Zone. In late December 2018 - January 2019, it may have bottomed again within the EMA200-300 range but the mid-Cycle March 2020 COVID flash crash bottom was priced within the EMA300 - EMA400 (red trend-line) Zone. The next Bear Cycle bottomed in November - December 2022 lower again, within the EMA400 - EMA500 (yellow trend-line) Zone.
Based on that model and the 4-year Cycle Theory with all its amazing time symmetry, BTC's current Bear Cycle should bottom by October 2026 either within the same range as the previous Bear Cycle (EMA400-500) or one lower within EMA500 - EMA600 (grey trend-line). According to those then, the good/ upper case scenario based on where the EMAs currently are, is $50550 - 44250 and bad/ lower case $44250 - 38500.
Which one do you think has more chances to get hit? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Starting with January 2015, BTC bottomed within the 1W EMA200 (orange trend-line) - EMA300 (black trend-line) Zone. In late December 2018 - January 2019, it may have bottomed again within the EMA200-300 range but the mid-Cycle March 2020 COVID flash crash bottom was priced within the EMA300 - EMA400 (red trend-line) Zone. The next Bear Cycle bottomed in November - December 2022 lower again, within the EMA400 - EMA500 (yellow trend-line) Zone.
Based on that model and the 4-year Cycle Theory with all its amazing time symmetry, BTC's current Bear Cycle should bottom by October 2026 either within the same range as the previous Bear Cycle (EMA400-500) or one lower within EMA500 - EMA600 (grey trend-line). According to those then, the good/ upper case scenario based on where the EMAs currently are, is $50550 - 44250 and bad/ lower case $44250 - 38500.
Which one do you think has more chances to get hit? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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I trade Crypto, Forex, Indices & Commodities on PrimeXBT — all from one account with TradingView charts 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/PrimeXBT
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
I trade Crypto, Forex, Indices & Commodities on PrimeXBT — all from one account with TradingView charts 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/PrimeXBT
I also use TradeNation for fixed spreads & zero commission 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/Tradenation
I also use TradeNation for fixed spreads & zero commission 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/Tradenation
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.