BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
1534 15
We are still in no-trade zone for my system. Patience is key.
Keep an eye on these levels and specially on this triangle.

We are without doubt in a bear market since december 2017, the longest consolidation in +2 years with the worst fundamentals ever.

Mt.Gox just liquidated enough bitcoin+bitcoincash to cover creditors claims, but there are still +160k btc and bch that could keep being dumped by the bankruptcy trustee. Bulgaria hasn't reported what they are doing with the 200k btc they hold (worth right now over 13% of their national debt), but sooner or later the will dump them if they hadn't done it yet. And mt.gox coins being dumped might trigger someone in bulgarian govt (I guess the can't until the investigation and the case are over).

We still face the bitfinex-tether issue. It has been over 40 days since last tether issuance of USDT and despite an obviously bear market the amount is not decreasing, that is proving what I already knew and shared a few times: USDT cannot be redeemed into USD. The only use of a USDT (and that goes for bifinexUSD-iou's too) is to buy more cryptos, and despite a massive amount of them the market is failing to make new highs for over 70 days.

I have no doubt that 2018 is going to be a red year for bitcoin , the first red year since 2014

The question is more about how low rather than if the close will be lower or not. Probably near 3k USD.

Tether and Bitfinex are a problem for the whole cryptomarket, Bulgaria and Mt.Gox holdings are a problem specially for BTC and BCH.

Onchain usage is going down, trading volume is going down, google searches are going down, velocity of the ecosystem is going down and basically every metric has decoupled from past years trend and has plummeted.
The new paradigm is not as bullish as some used to think, adoptions has frozen, usage is going down and uncertainity is growing massively. That leaves only one path forward: down.

As a bitcoin bear I am waiting for a more delusional market to re-enter the market. As a bitcoin bull I am waiting for real paninc to re-enter the market. I shorted 15k down to 10k and longed 6k up to 10k - this is a waiting game, get the perfect setup, take measured risks and go in hard.
I am going to enter short in the retest of the breakdown.
Trade active: Already getting some fills. Let's see how this plays out.
Trade active: We are already in a comfortable position.
Paying attention to volume and to these falling wedges structures.

For now i have placed the stop just above breakdown level.
Comment: Coinbase volume looks fishy. It vanished on the Bitfinex subpoma date (the actual delivery, not when it came public) and only came back to dump the recovery.
Comment: If you are really pretending to hodl through the incoming market (9-15 months) i really really really expect you are not playing with money you might need.
Comment: if you are still hodling or want to go short, 7.8k MIGHT be a great short oportunity.
Comment: Okex is rolling back trades, as expected.
Obviously marke behaviour was not natural
Comment: More info on okex fuckery
Comment: Placing some buy bids around 5.8-6k
Comment: Having doubts we are actually going to 6k. And if we go there, we will probably blast through it.
Though we could be currently at the bottom range. Watchout 7189 level, buy on BO+Retest for easy trade.
how do you calculate those incoming phases? elliot?
bagofXMR etiennez0r
@etiennez0r, it is just wyckoff theory and simple supports/resistances.
But it seems the composite man doesn't want to gives us a clear test of BO.
@bagofXMR, thank you mate!
@bagofXMR after btc crossing 7189 ?? where do you reckon btc is going ? (since you had mentioned to check 7189 retest)
bagofXMR avinashpolepally
@avinashpolepally, check update
Interesting article: “4th Dimension: Bitcoin-Manipulation-Cartel — Price-Suppression is their Goal”
I'm scalping, feeling safer joining and exiting my short, i'll join again in that 7,8
Well played
bagofXMR Voluntarist007
@Voluntarist007, thanks sir :)
@bagofXMR if I got it right you expect break up from that triangle. In case we get to 13k does this make you bullish for next half a year or possible bull trap?
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