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Meteorite777
Nov 25, 2019 5:35 PM

Bitcoin Long to Daily Kijun Long

Bitcoin / United States DollarCoinbase

Description

Longs Triggered @ Short Target 3 of $6,550 at midnight the night of 11/24/2019.

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My initial short targets were based on the 50, 100, and 200 EMA's and although they have changed since my original call back in July; we have (locally) bottomed within $20 of my $6,550 final short target.

(Link to previous Bitcoin Short Idea 14k -> 6.5k: tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/y8jvIaS3-Bitcoin-Short-to-50-100-and-200-EMA/)



My new initial targets for this long based on trend lines in the chart given are:

Target 1: Target 2: Target 3:
~$7,100 ~$7,700 ~$8,250

We have already gained +11% and reached Target 1 in less than 12 hours on this move! Although it could continue to rally in the coming hours; I have just taken profit on the majority of my margin longs from $6,500-$6,600 @ $7,200-$7,300 before writing this and am on the side lines awaiting a potential short-term retrace in the coming hours to get back in. The Daily Tenkan is marked in orange and Kijun in white on my chart; with the Kijun sitting right around ~$8,000 at the time of writing 11/25/2019. In my experience BTC tends to fairly dependably come back and touch the Daily Kijun.

Best of luck and happy trading!
Meteorite777

Trade closed manually

Target 2 of $7,700 reached!

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We came to a high of $7,870 on Coinbase; just a bit over my T2 target of $7,700 and just shy my Daily Kijun call which sat at $7,997.

Either way if you followed my long call and took proportionate profits at T1 and T2 with healthy stops you should have made out with a healthy ~4.5-17.5% profit (depending on whether you entered $6,550 or $6,800 and whether you exited $7,100 or $7,700).

It seems Bitcoin is attempting to print a head and shoulders reversal pattern to the upside on the hourly chart. We have broken out on this rally to $7,700 and this fall to $7,250 would be the attempt at re-testing the neckline and downtrend lines we broke out from.

I will look to re-enter a small to medium sized long on these areas of support potentially with a pretty tight stops if it breaks below this range.

Best of luck and happy trading!
-Meteorite777

Comment

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We peaked @ $7,870 on Nov 30th when I closed the trade manually; however failed to actually touch the Daily Kijun at that time.

In post-mortem; we tapped the Daily Kijun in white (~$7,600) on December 9th and proceeded to fall sharply shortly after.

Current price resides at $6,700. I would place bids at the bottom of this channel in the $6,000-$6,300 for the short-term relief rally.

Trade closed manually

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