BTC has been moving inside a range between 30-41K USD since 19th of May. 5 weeks without any clear trend - this is a serious psychological challenge for the beginners on the financial market, especially for new crypto-traders, who came for the quickly results.
But this is a common situation for the professional traders, for those who have been trading many years. Professional knows that after long consolidations always comes a huge movement. And all you need is to be prepared for this moment.
BTC now down around 50% from its April peak. And the main question for crypto community is «So, is it the bottom or not?». Without any doubts, crypto bulls are here, support areal $31’000 per BTC had been worked 5 times already.
However, the price didn’t breach the at $41’000, so the signal of the potential uptrend moving didn’t exist yet.
What is the main reason for the crypto market weakness?
In my opinion, this is a Chinese crypto ban. But this weakness could be the benefits in the future. Why? Let me explain.
The People’s Bank of China has intensified its crackdown on crypto. Government sad that “virtual currency trading activities disrupt the normal economic and financial orders, breed the risks of illegal cross-border transfer of assets, money laundering and other illegal and criminal activities, and seriously infringe the people’s property safety.
China focuses on CBDC. But why?
The question is - if the PBoC is such against the traditional crypto, why they create its own digital currency? The answer in the one word is «CONTROL». Chinese CBDC, cyber yuan, will stands to give Beijing power to track spending in real time, plus money that isn’t linked to the dollar-dominated global financial system.
China plans to be the world’s most advanced blockchain technology by 2025. But it means the centralization and control increasing.
The country is currently rolling out its CBDC, promoting them through lotteries across the country - $6.2 million digital yuan is raffled for Beijing residents in the lottery. China has also added digital yuan support to over 3,000 ATMs across Beijing. And several banks in China already offering cash exchange services for the digital yuan.
Chinese ban for miners - is it a smart decision?
The regional Chinese government in Sichuan announced it would shutting down more than two dozen suspected cryptocurrency-mining operations in the hydroelectricity-rich region.
Bitcoin mining facilities in other parts of China received orders to cease operations. Yunnan province, Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, and Qinghai have also ordered crypto mining operations to shut down amid investigations into the alleged illegal use of power for bitcoin mining activities. The move has also seen China prohibit financial institutions from using crypto services.
China was a crypto-mining capital of the world. But that time is over.
In the aftermath of the mining ban in Sichuan, which shut down over 90% of the country’s crypto mining, Chinese miners are moving their operations to other, more crypto-friendly nations like the US, Kazakhstan, Canada, and Russia. Mining becomes a geopolitical decision concerning and the wealth of nations.
Does this affect users?
Large-scale bans in bitcoin mining in China have seen the decline in mining hash rate reaching the 2019 levels. Bitcoin’s hash rate was on an uptrend in 2021, hitting 198M TH/s on May 15. It has since dropped to nearly 58.46M TH/s for Jun 27 2021.
Bitcoin Network Hash Rate is at a current level of 58.46M, down from 88.19M yesterday and down from 115.23M one year ago. This is a change of -33.71% from yesterday and -49.27% from one year ago. Most Chinese Bitcoin pools like AntPool and F2Pool have witnessed a drop of more than 50% in their hash rate.
Miners shut down are temporary. However, a drop in the hash rate means chances of landing on the correct hash to earn Bitcoin are very low. In addition to miners from China trying to shift shop offshore as soon as possible, Bitcoin has an inbuilt safeguard that will push hash rates level back up with time.
The largest infrastructure displacement in modern history is taking place - roughly 45% of the bitcoin mining industry is relocating countries and continents.
What is a prospect for BTC?
The psychological $30K has held strong as Bitcoin prices rise back into their range-bound channel. Currently, the price is trying to breach the first at $35K per BTC .
After a potential breakout of the current resistance, the next target will be $41K per BTC . However, as long as the pressure of regulators on the market persists, all we should be prepared for a potential decline to the level of $20K.
All investment strategies and investments involve the risk of loss. Nothing contained in this article should be construed as investment advice. Any reference to an investment's past or potential performance is not, and should not be construed as a recommendation or as a guarantee of any specific outcome or profit.
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