1st line : Bottom of channel
2nd line : Breakout
3rd line : Peak of April bubble
5th line : July minimum
6th line : Roughly when growth from july min stops (weak correlation)
7th line : When Bitcoin goes back on rise
For the short term, I think bubble will form, due to timings, media coverage ect... For long term, the constant growth shows no sign of stopping, especially due to the deflationary nature of Bitcoin . By march, I do not expect price to go below the channel, leaving a minimum of $500.