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billaddison
Nov 14, 2017 2:51 AM

BTC/USD – ABCD to test 5k support Short

Bitcoin / DollarBitfinex

Description

Before we can safely move upwards a test of 5k is required to solidify support. So how do we get there?

Possible ABCD Pattern
  • AB leg ATH 7900 to 5400 (complete)
  • BC correction to just under 7k (6940 – in progress)
  • CD leg completes pattern at 5k for long entry


BITFINEX:BTCUSD

Comment

BBands tightening.
Expecting a big move in the next few hours.
Hopefully break to the upside to 7k before more significant leg down to 5k.

Comment

Breakout confirmed to the upside.
Very close to our 6940 target.

Trade closed: stop reached

Closing out this idea. My stop was reached over 7k and the pattern has been invalidated, unfortunately.

I'm keeping a close eye on the next fib line (0.786) at ~7300 area for a possible short-term correction potentially down to retest 7k, or depending on whale play maybe retest 0.5 fib at 6700 and stop out a bunch of people before next leg up.
Comments
vaskojovanov
What is the outcome if it brakes major resistance at 7000? Is C D still in play above 7000?
billaddison
@vaskojovanov, it would invalidate the pattern and I'd start thinking about the next run up instead.
vaskojovanov
@billaddison, I will be awaiting for your next chart since my hopes have died for retest 5000 dip. :)
billaddison
@vaskojovanov, Yes, 5k isn't looking likely at this stage any more. The pattern has been invalidated. I think for my next charts, I'll include entry, target and stop so it's clearer. I had a stop reentry just over 7k which filled for example.
CovidScamIsAnIQTest
Looking good. Thank you for the chart.
billaddison
@sifeij, Thanks, hopefully this reversal happens just before 7k to keep the pattern valid. Hard to imagine price dropping all the way to 5k tbh, but we still have a few days for the formation to complete. Good luck!
CovidScamIsAnIQTest
@billaddison, 5k is in, that's where 100MA on daily is. Each drop in the past (drop from 3k, drop from 5k) all reached 100MA and made the bottom. This time is still 10% to reach 100MA (5000) from previous low (5550).
billaddison
@sifeij, Yes, I'm expecting 5k from this move as well, which would also be a nice 61.8% retrace in line with the last two major corrections you mentioned as well.
CovidScamIsAnIQTest
@billaddison, Let's see if the whales respect TA or not ...haaahaa
billaddison
@sifeij, exactly!
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