- Capitalism is a dirty business. - Like war? - Not exactly.
It has important rules one must follow.
A game about money is a cold blooded game.
One player must deceive the other to win, the so called bluff.
Fear is a weapon of war.
The house always wins.
... and many more which I don't know.
The best bull traps are set when FOMO psychology is established. The best bear traps are set when FEAR psychology is established. These are just some of the methods the game works.
I have talked about how QQQ is inside a probable bubble. One that took shape in 2020.
As it turns out, Bitcoin is in no different place... Again, in a bubble that took shape in 2020.
A structural shift took place at that particular date. We went from decades of QE to a new period of QT. Progressively higher yield rates change the way we invest long-term.
Now, price increases are harder than before. Derivatives came to play to mitigate the effects of yield rate increases.
The effect of these derivatives is very uncertain. I will attempt to explain one of the many points of view.
Many believe that only now institutions are investing into crypto. The BitcoinPrice-to-BitcoinTrust ratio shown before tells a different story. A game about money is a cold blooded game.
From a fundamental growth we have gone to an easy-growth. One player must deceive the other to win, the so called bluff.
It is as if there is no safe haven for investors. Only the house wins?
FOMO is at an all-time-high in Gold, Crude Oil and Crypto.
FEAR is at an all-time-high in Equities.
If we ignore the fear mongering, we conclude that equities are only now just beginning to grow. Fear is a weapon of war.
@The_Unwind explained it very clearly. SPX may in fact be in the beginning of a new era. It is KST that is helping me make all of these conclusions, and I thank him for that.
The following period is characterized of significantly diminished growth after many large drawdowns. If that equity growth is bearish in relative terms, how fast is a bullish growth?
Crypto proved as an experiment of how fast gains can get. If derivatives were tested in crypto, what could that mean for future equity growth? Are equity derivatives deactivated and have not yet shown their true effect?
The house holds the keys to profits. The house always wins.
Tread lightly, for this is hollow ground. -Father Grigori
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Are you a Dollar milkshake fan? Fans and Fomos don't fit in cold-blooded analysis.
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A message to the FOMO Gold Bulls. This signal has been seen before in 1948 and 1988.
Is there a hidden 40 year circle?
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After Big Tech, MASSIVE Tech may be coming... Everyone is obsessed with AI. Guess who is going to profit from it.
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Japan is Bullish: China be like: Hold my beer. And they don't even drink beer!
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I'm out. Not going to post again. It's been a pleasure!
@noobmaster68 exactly, everything all over the place + clickbait thumbnail, all smoke no fire
BrainRules
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"I am leaving this table. I am into the game". "I'm out. Not going to post again. It's been a pleasure!". Like me (I WAS posting ideas) you realize that you need to start playing this dirty/shitty game. Your analysis are very interesting, but, sorry for saying, they are a waste of time (mainly for you). That's why I send you that message about your 'abundance' of TF's. Since several months now my profile message is "Speech is silver, silence is golden" (early 9th century). I am "in the game" since I posted it. I started has an investor, now I am basically a gambler (with a dividend portfolio for my daughter). Good luck and thanks.
BrainRules
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@BrainRules, by the way, logic here (stock/crypto market) is a game of fools, in the past I lost trying (academically) to find logic and to try to answer the same kind of questions you ask in your posts. Now I use some private charts (conclusions) to 'play'.
B1ury
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So you want to say, that the "Fake Bitcoin" must come closer to the "Real Bitcoin" ?