mortonpeak

$15,400 by June, then 600% growth rate takes over

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Sorry as I work out my own Long-hold thesis before your eyes, but it's better that I get my notes out in small spurts.

Historical average growth rate between the end-of-year highs, until mid-year spurts is around 220%. 2016 was 180% and 2017 was 283%.

Thus, a purchase of one Bitcoin at $7,000 February 6th will yield, by average, a $15,400 coin in June. I have yet to study 2013, 2014, and 2015. I would expect to see a lull in values post Mt. Gox. Thus, I omit those extreme years, where external legal factors justified a big price pull back.

I will study and publish results based on the second-halves of such years. I expect growth rate to triple, and create significant run-ups, prior to crashes. This pattern is live during 16, 17, and 18.

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