Taking Profit on BTC Shorts; Looking to Get Tiny Long Exposure

Feb 13

Originally Posted: 02/05/2026

Reposted For Compliance: 02/13/2026

BTC and MSTR are at potential PCZs of Bullish Gartley; The two assets moved down leading to MSTR earnings and negative unrealized losses expectations. I do think that BTC will ultimately move back down, but from where it is now, looking at all of the downside short leverage that has been building at these lower levels, I think there is a high chance of it short squeezing to the upside and for it to be fast and violent move up to around 90-106k before then confirming a lower high and going back down to even lower lows in a fashion similar to the green projection I have drawn out. Meanwhile we could see MSTR pump back to around $200. In this scenario I would see these pumps as nothing more than Bear Cat Bounces and would be looking to reenter my shorts on these bounces where we could then continue the main bearish trade. Here is a link to a chart of the original underlying bearish trade :

The short squeeze we could be set up for is something similar to what we got near the end of 2019 where BTC was in a bear trend but rallied 40% in 2 days within that bear trend before continuing much lower into 2020. Here is the chart focused around that time period:

At the time it was the greatest BTC short squeeze in the history of the asset yet despite how great it was it still ultimately went lower later so I will be on the lookout for this kind of movement once more as short positions accelerate not only at the bullish trendline but also at the PCZ of Bullish Gartleys on both MSTR and BTC.

I suspect MSTR could pump 20-40% from the PCZ and in terms of BTC I think we will get price action similar to what I have projected in the white brush marker.


I actually posted this last week but it was taken down by a mod so this is a repost which should now be compliant enough for them; Since then, BTC pumped 15% and MSTR is up over 20% but we have since pulled back decently towards the entry zone so there may be way more upside to go from here. However; I have mainly reposted this for archival purposes.

On a side note CLSK, another crypto miner looks like it could be set to rise from it's 0.886 PCZ of a Bullish Bat around 10 dollars all the way back up to around 18 dollars.

Mar 5

Trade active

We've had a pretty substantial breakout from the consolidation we've seen at the PCZ and Bottom of the Channel. Leading up to this breakout we developed a smaller local gartley similar to the one identified on ETH which has played out great as seen on this chart here: Now that BTC has broken out it has cleared most of the resistance and the only visible resistance it really has above will be at the Line of Best Fit highlighted on the chart at around $95,500.

However, there is still the problem of the 200 SMA (the purple moving average) which can be seen here on our main Timeframe the 5-Day that BTC is currently sitting just below as this SMA attempts to act as a potential resistance: Historically BTC doesn't stay below this 200 Period SMA on the 5-Day Timescale for very long and once it gets back above it, BTC often starts an entirely new bull cycle for the time being I will still be looking to take profits around the line of best fit and the 1.618 but there is a distinct possibility that this bounce wont be that of a dead-cat but a full on continuation of the bull trend as I'v highlighted here in my updated idea:

The main driver that could fuel such a fractal would be the inflation-- or future pricing in of the inflation of the federal reserve balance sheet if that happens then we may very well break past the line of best fit and rally to the top of the channel around 150-190k aligning with the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension before declining as the fed employs harsh countermeasures to divert the inflation.