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Luettis
Jan 16, 2018 9:20 AM

BTC Crash Short

Bitcoin / DollarBitfinex

Description

I would take some profits and stay aside until the current crash will be finished.
TA
I´ve eliminated all trend channels out of the past because BTC has broken through all lower limits.
I´ve added a new descending trend channel as orientation.

Next support line is the 0% fib retracement (new) that is also the older fib retracement 61.8%. (10.700$) This line has been tested on dec 22.

indicators:
RSI: below 50 but not oversold
MACD: falling below zero
ADX: -DI above 20 / +DI below and momentum is rising (for the negative trend)

conclusion:
the negative trend hasn´t yet ended - probably it´ll stops on lower limit of descending trend channel / support line
accumulation only if trend stabilizes above these lines and only with positive momentun

Trade active

Indicators are now showing oversold situation - perhaps the beginning of stabilization
BTC shouldn´t fall back beyond 10.000$ (Bitfinex).

Trade closed manually

Crash has ended - we´re back.
Comments
roma777
lol
webmi
But MACD is below zero, last time was there 5 months ago. And RSI did not touch 30 yet. You really think it is over?
Luettis
@webmi, I think most is over - for the moment! Of course all indicators are in negative terrain - what do you expect after two days falling prices? MACD just triggered and slowly rising, RSI is weak but not in oversold terrain, ADX negative - falling momentum. Often at noon we got a negative momentum (I don´t know why at noon UTC+1) - so perhaps we wait until afternoon. We´ll see.
Ethernal27
it's the end...
Luettis
@Ethernal27, I won´t go so far! But it is correction. Think we´ll see better times in 2018.
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