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stanosky
Jun 29, 2023 6:26 PM

This is why I am still a bear Short

Bitcoin / U.S. dollarBitstamp

Description

The chart above is self explanatory. You can see three very bearish patterns:
  • a rising wedge
  • a descending channel
  • and possibly a giant inverted cup-and-handle formation


While I don't believe bitcoin will break out of the downtrend channel, I allow for the possibility of a false breakout up to the upper edge of the rising wedge or slightly above. If this happens we should witness a quick downward bounce and a downward rally. I will not predict the bottom price, in any case it will be low.

Of course, I could be very wrong and not see something obvious so I am open to discussion.

This is not financial advice.

Comment

So far, all the pieces fit the pattern.
Comments
mprater17
Thank you for your analysis, keep it up!
jdo85
lol pleas stop
stanosky
@jdo85, you first.
jdo85
@stanosky give it few month and btc trades at way highter prices. at what price point you actually turn bullish ??? 40k ? 50k ?
stanosky
@jdo85, it's simple - when the chart shows it's time.
fabionebiondo
@jdo85 Personally, I turn bullish at 10k
CrazyCarmines
I don’t think technical analysis works 100% with bitcoin. It is a world wide beast of its own.
stanosky
@CrazyCarmines, In that case, point me to an asset for which technical analysis works 100%, I will gladly abandon bitcoin.

And seriously, I don't think anyone on this site thinks that technical analysis works 100% for any asset. And even if someone like that is found he is either a novice or is a naive fanatic.

I think more that there are more people here who are more attempting to do technical analysis and doing it wrong than actually doing it right. That's probably where your misconception that technical analysis doesn't work for bitcoin comes from.

I myself do not claim to be the alpha and omega, moreover I think I am wrong very often.
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