At this moment the accumulation is at a critical point, in the first post about Wyckoff I assumed that the price was behaving as Schematic #1. However due to the extended fourth wave there is a possibility that it is switching to Schematic #2, this would than result in more of a trading range for the coming days instead of high volatile price action.
The retrace of last night was perfectly supported by the 0.66 (The top of an extended version of the golden pocket) of the fib retracement of the first wave. It was was also supported by the .236 fib retracement of the third wave (since there was no close below it). However, we should have a second test of the resistance level at ~40,500 within 24h. When this test does not happen we could see a low earlier than predicted.
Next to this, we can see a breakout form a relatively simple rising wedge pattern, the target of this breakdown is around the same region as the spring of Wyckoff in Phase C. However keep in mind that the resistance line (prior support) is not tested and thus not confirmed, this can lead to the fact that the pattern breakdown is uncertain.
As well I want to apologise for the misleading titles of the last two days in which it said that it is a distribution instead of an accumulation. A distribution is entered with an uptrend and an accumulation is entered with a downtrend.
This is some great charting, although I don't see Schematic #1 and 2
DaanVerbeek
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@azda71, Thanks! Schematic 2 was not yet implemented or displayed, however it is now not applicable anymore due to the increase of the last two hours.
CrowDance
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The Wyckoff with the Wyckoff. Classic Inception tactics. One problem I would see is institutional investors setting this up would want the Spring to come on a weekday when banks are open but who knows I guess. Only time will tell.
DaanVerbeek
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@CrowDance, That is definitely true, however in one of my later updates i stated that i might underestimated the time it takes to play out the waves within the pattern and therefore spring would be more delayed
coinbitme
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HNS playing out right now. Effect on your chart?
DaanVerbeek
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@coinbitme, It is still going to plan, only the second wave was a bit shorter but will share an update within two hours
morbidPerson16117
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Could we state that we are currently on the way to the 2nd 2?
DaanVerbeek
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@morbidPerson16117, yes it looked like that, however we got rejected on the combination of moving averages and .618
coinbitme
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slight delay but still in play. Any updates on this? Good job btw!
akadoode
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I'm by no means an expert in this, but the schematics I've seen places Spring lower than SC (something like 28-29k). What do you think about that?