Sawcruhteez

BTC:USD 4 hour chart DAILY UPDATE (day 118)

Short
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Yesterday we moved the stop loss down on the short positions for the first time. My short on ETH:USD and ETH:BTC has been open since 6-5 and it is a relief to be able to move the stop loss into the money. I use Bill Williams Fractals on the daily chart to manage my stops.

Today we are waiting to see if the major area of support will breakdown below $5,945 and I have been calling for that to happen this weekend. Be ready for a big amount of selling volume to follow if a new swing low occurs.

I have an order set to open a short on BTC:USD as soon as a new low is created. I am going to be playing in a golf tournament today and that order will make sure that I do not miss out on the opportunity. For those of you who are unaware you can do this by setting a stop order if there isn’t currently an open position.

For example: I set a stop loss order to sell BTC at $5,819. Since I do not have an open position that order will trigger to sell BTC on margin, thus creating a short position. That allows me to get the entry I am waiting on without needing to be at my computer. This is a big help when it comes to living a balanced life!

We are currently consolidating at the major area of support and I am expecting the formation of a bear flag to lead to the eventual breakdown.

On the 1 hour chart we can see prior support turning into resistance as well as a shooting star and two hanging men.


The 12 and 26 period EMA’s have made a bearish cross on the 1 hour, 2 hour, 3 hour, 4 hour, 6 hour, 12 hour 1 day, 3 day and 1 week. It is often a good idea to wait until multiple time frames are in alignment before opening a position. It is safe to say that this is currently the case in regards to the moving averages.

If you are still not in a position then there are a couple of entries on the table.

1. Open 100% of your desired position as a short once we breech $5,900 support.
2. Start with 33% of the position when the shorter term moving averages get a bearish cross over - 10 minute, 15 minute etc.

Stop loss is currently $6,851 and the target of $4,950 remains in tact.

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