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Range trading: Cryptocurrencies as of 10/12/2021

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Calculations of the fluctuations range for the present day are published in this section. That is, at the very beginning of the day, you can determine the maximum and minimum of this day (with a known probability).
What does this information give? In fact, a lot. But first of all, these are guidelines for trade. For example, if during the day the price approaches the upper (lower) mark, you know that it won’t go above (below) this mark with a particular probability today. Accordingly, you can open a position opposite to the current movement, knowing in advance what the probability is to be profitable.

BTCUSD

Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 45478
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 43129
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 40780

Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 50761
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 53111
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 55460


ETHUSD

Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 3890.86
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 3725.75
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 3560.63

Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 4410.08
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 4575.19
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 4740.31

XRPUSD

Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 0.8003
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 0.7317
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 0.6632

Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 0.9277
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 0.9963
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.0648


Calculations are based on historical data, and there is no history recurrence on a specific day. We remind you that the indicated probabilities values aren’t 100% guarantee of risk-free trading.

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