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ShaheenFahmy
Apr 8, 2018 2:39 PM

DON'T BE FOOLED AGAIN.... 

Bitcoin / DollarBitfinex

Description

To be straight forward honest with you, I did not expect BTC to reach 7k before the major leg down.

But there are two important things I'd like to talk about.

1. Notice how on the log scale we didn't even break through March's downtrend.
Remembers me of the time when BTC broke through December's resistance on the auto scale, everybody was bullish and nothing happened.
BTC actually went down again.
Why?
Because this major resistance hasn't been broken on the log scale.
Same thing might happen here.

2. We got yet another rising wedge forming.
BTC formed a similar rising wedge at the beginning of April - remember how bullish everybody was?
The afore mentioned rising wedge was underlined by a (hidden) bearish divergence.

Well...guess what.
BTC is forming yet another rising wedge, with a hidden bearish divergence on the 1H Chart AND apparently on the daily chart.

If the wedge is confirmed by a high volume breakdown, expect 5.800$ to happen and consider shorting.

In case BTC manages to break through 7.250$, we might see 7.500$.

Wish you a nice sunday.



Comment

Hidden bearish divergence on the daily chart.
If we don't get a significant move up today, things might get ugly for longs.

Comment

Potential breakdown happening.

50 MA & 50 EMA are significant support levels.
0.786 FIB level as well.

If they fail as support, a major drop is very likely.
Make sure to monitor those levels precisely.

Comment

Trade active

Hourly close below 0.786 FIB.

1st Target: Around 6890

This is no financial advice.

Comment

1st Target reached.
Next Stop 6500.

Move your stop loss to entry point, Risk Free Trade from now on.

Comment

Expect some consolidation here - that was one hell of a price drop.

Comment

0.382 FIB Retracement currently proves to be a strong support.
We might get a slight upwards correction, before we go further down.
I suggest everybody to move your SL to the first target (6890).

You should never lose a winning trade :)

Comment

Hey everybody,

first of all I want to thank you for the great feedback on my recent analysis.
I really appreciate it!

Let's get right into it:

BTC appears to be forming a Head and Shoulders pattern.
If this one plays out very well, with a high volume breakdown, a potential target could be 5.500$ dollar (from a measured move perspective).



In addition to that, we need to precisely watch the 6.500$ price level.
It has proven to be a very strong support.

If BTC falls through the neckline (white line, around 6.500$), I'm going to add to my short position.

Have a nice day and safe trading!

Comment

BTC most recently loves those rising wedges...I'm excited to see how this one plays out!
Watch out for a potential breakdown of the white support line.

Comment

Short Term Scenario

Comment

Nothing exciting happening right now.
BTC has been forming this ascending channel for quite some while now.
Could be a bearish flag as well-
I'm expecting a breakout to the downside.
We got rising prices and declining Volume.
Nothing bullish about that.

Comment

That liteRALLY came out of nowhere.
Gonna update you soon

Comment

I'm bearish until we get a sustained breakthrough above the red resistance line.

Comment

New idea is up
Comments
petrkovacik
Hey you are really Mr. Boss!
ShaheenFahmy
@petrkovacik, Haha thanks!
petrkovacik
I really like your way of thinking. Keep doing!
ShaheenFahmy
@petrkovacik, Nice to hear, thank you!
GustavoBrucestavo
@petrkovacik, @ShaheenFahmy totally agree, nice vision and perspective
ShaheenFahmy
@GustavoBrucestavo, Thank you so much!
Kimzo
@ShaheenFahmy thanks for the update man!
ShaheenFahmy
@Kimzo, You are welcome! Have a nice day :)
Sparky123
Very Good SHort
ShaheenFahmy
@Sparky123, Thanks, worked out pretty well!
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